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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
April 19, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets59%9699
21Hornets41%93105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
45.0
34.3
15
49%
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
2-9
4-7
22%
47%
3-5
60%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.0
43.1
31.6
11
51%
8
3
2
1
1
3
1
7
1-2
50%
5-10
6-13
50%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
38.1
32.5
23
59%
5
8
1
1
0
3
1
4
6-10
60%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
3-7
43%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
30.6
30.3
3
17%
2
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.1
27.6
21.7
14
62%
7
4
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-3
0%
7-10
2-5
70%
44%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
32.3
24.7
22
62%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
4-11
36%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
31.1
23.7
8
40%
8
1
0
0
1
0
3
5
0-2
0%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.1
17.2
19.2
3
24%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
13.2
0
2-4
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.8
0
1-1
47%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.9
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Diamon Simpson
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.3
40.0
30.7
7
35%
6
9
0
1
0
4
0
6
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
38.0
14.7
27
60%
4
5
3
0
1
2
0
4
8-10
80%
8-13
2-5
62%
49%
1-5
20%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
32.1
30.9
17
51%
8
2
2
1
0
0
2
6
5-6
83%
6-11
3-7
55%
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
19.6
24.8
6
38%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
15.2
10.5
4
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
37.7
22.2
20
72%
10
0
1
0
0
4
6
4
2-2
100%
9-13
4-7
69%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
24.9
30.3
13
60%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
46%
3-7
43%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.1
22.4
15.3
9
77%
10
4
1
1
1
0
2
8
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
52%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
16.7
20.9
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
13.1
17.9
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 27.4
5.3
13.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
14.1
0
3-5
48%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.6
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.