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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Nuggets45%105118
15Suns55%106107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
37.9
36.4
19
73%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
7-7
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
37.4
28.3
13
47%
2
4
2
1
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.5
36.7
33.4
29
82%
4
10
1
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
53%
5-5
100%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
27.1
24.3
18
69%
14
2
1
1
3
0
4
10
0-0
-
9-13
4-7
69%
54%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.2
15.2
18.0
2
50%
4
1
2
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
27.6
25.3
8
45%
3
2
1
1
0
5
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
22.9
26.6
8
57%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
0-2
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
19.0
17.2
11
51%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
16.3
18.3
10
63%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
13.5
1
1-2
49%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.9
13.4
0
2-4
48%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.8
4.8
0
1-1
51%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
4.7
0
1-1
55%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
2.4
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.4
41.4
27.2
28
56%
6
1
3
1
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
47%
6-12
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
31.7
32.0
9
36%
6
1
1
1
0
3
4
2
1-1
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
0-4
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.2
29.6
27.8
8
44%
6
13
1
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
55%
0-3
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
27.2
31.0
18
59%
11
0
0
1
3
0
7
4
2-3
67%
8-14
6-11
57%
56%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
12.2
26.3
5
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.9
20.1
18.4
15
107%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.8
19.3
3.4
7
39%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
1-1
38%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.7
18.1
15.2
4
50%
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
17.6
19.3
3
25%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.1
14.7
14.8
8
75%
5
0
0
0
2
2
2
3
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
8.2
16.1
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
59%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.5
8.2
0
1-2
49%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
4.6
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.