Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Nuggets	44%	104	118	122.9	96	98.6
	15	Suns	56%	106	107	116.3	92	89.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	37.9	19	79%	3	3	2	0	3	1	0	3	7-7	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	37.4	13	46%	2	4	2	2	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.7	29	81%	4	10	1	0	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	5-5	100%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	27.1	18	69%	14	2	1	3	0	3	4	10	0-0	-	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	15.2	2	50%	4	1	2	2	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	27.6	8	44%	3	2	1	0	5	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	22.9	8	57%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 24	19.0	11	50%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	16.3	10	63%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DND - Low Back Strain
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 25	\| DND - Left Hip, Labral Tear
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	60%	38	25	12	7	9	0	8	30	16-17	94%	42-74	57%	6-13	46%

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10 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 27	37.9	19	79%	3	3	2	0	3	1	0	3	7-7	100%	6-9	67%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	37.4	13	46%	2	4	2	2	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-3	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	36.7	29	81%	4	10	1	0	1	1	0	4	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	5-5	100%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	27.1	18	69%	14	2	1	3	0	3	4	10	0-0	-	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 23	15.2	2	50%	4	1	2	2	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	27.6	8	44%	3	2	1	0	5	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	22.9	8	57%	3	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 24	19.0	11	50%	3	0	1	0	0	2	0	3	1-2	50%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	16.3	10	63%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-1	0%
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DND - Low Back Strain
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 25	\| DND - Left Hip, Labral Tear
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	60%	38	25	12	7	9	0	8	30	16-17	94%	42-74	57%	6-13	46%

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15 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 26	41.4	28	56%	6	1	3	2	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	4-12	33%	6-12	50%
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 27	31.7	9	38%	6	1	1	0	3	0	4	2	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 38	29.6	8	44%	6	13	1	0	5	2	1	5	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 28	27.2	18	60%	11	0	0	3	0	1	7	4	2-3	67%	8-14	57%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 29	12.2	5	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-1	100%

Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 27	20.1	15	107%	0	4	0	0	3	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	3-4	75%
Hakim Warrick F · 6'9" 219 · 30	19.3	7	39%	4	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 33	18.1	4	50%	2	1	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 23	17.6	3	25%	4	3	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 24	14.7	8	80%	5	0	0	2	2	2	2	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29	8.2	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Grant Hill F · 6'8" 225 · 40	\| DND - Right Knee
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	45	24	8	7	17	0	18	27	8-11	73%	33-69	48%	11-26	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.20 60.2%

PHX

1.07 53.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

29

47

62%

PHX

18

36

50%

Midrange

DEN

13

27

48%

PHX

15

33

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

6

9.0

13

46%

69%

PHX

11

16.5

26

42%

63%

Free Throws

DEN

16

17

94%

PHX

8

11

73%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	29	81%	14.5 / 18
A. Afflalo	19	79%	9.5 / 12
K. Faried	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Gallinari	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. McGee	11	50%	5.5 / 11
C. Brewer	10	63%	5.0 / 8
A. Miller	8	44%	4.0 / 9
A. Harrington	8	57%	4.0 / 7
K. Koufos	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Brown	28	56%	14.0 / 25
M. Gortat	18	60%	9.0 / 15
S. Telfair	15	107%	7.5 / 7
J. Dudley	9	38%	4.5 / 12
S. Nash	8	44%	4.0 / 9
R. Lopez	8	80%	4.0 / 5
H. Warrick	7	39%	3.5 / 9
C. Frye	5	50%	2.5 / 5
M. Redd	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Morris	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. Childress	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 109.3 8 106.4	DEN 122.9 +6.6 PHX 116.3
Pace	2 94.1 10 92.5	DEN 98.6 +9.0 PHX 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.6 21 15.4	DEN 14.6 −1.5 PHX 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.6% 9 49.9%	DEN 58.6% +6.5% PHX 52.1%
TO %	20 15.7% 11 14.6%	DEN 9.6% −4.9% PHX 14.5%
ORB %	13 27.7% 23 25.8%	DEN 22.9% PHX 37.5% +14.6%
FTrt	2 32.6 23 25.7	DEN 19.5 +7.9 PHX 11.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.5% 9 59.6%	DEN 52.1% PHX 54.5% +2.4%
STL %	15 8.6% 27 7.0%	DEN 12.5% +3.8% PHX 8.7%
BLK %	16 8.1% 12 8.4%	DEN 10.1% +0.6% PHX 9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 6 52.3%	DEN 60.2% +6.7% PHX 53.5%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 2 60.9%	DEN 61.7% +11.7% PHX 50.0%
Mid FG%	14 39.3% 4 41.2%	DEN 48.1% +2.6% PHX 45.5%
3P %	24 33.2% 17 34.3%	DEN 46.2% +3.9% PHX 42.3%
FT %	24 73.6% 14 75.8%	DEN 94.1% +21.4% PHX 72.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 48.0% 27 31.7%	DEN 54.0% +16.1% PHX 37.9%
Mid Att. %	1 27.7% 23 44.5%	DEN 31.0% −3.7% PHX 34.7%
3P Att. %	12 24.3% 14 23.8%	DEN 14.9% PHX 27.4% +12.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	DEN	PHX
Possessions	96	92
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	118	107
Rebounds	38	45
Assists	25	24
Steals	12	8
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	18 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	27 (2)
Field Goals	48-87	44-95
At-the-Rim FG	29-47	18-36
Midrange FG	13-27	15-33
2-Point FG	42-74	33-69
3-Point FG	6-13	11-26
Free Throws	16-17	8-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg