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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Wizards18%9086
4Heat82%10284
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
39.7
33.5
13
57%
6
13
4
1
0
5
0
6
1-1
100%
6-10
5-12
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.4
32.7
32.9
17
54%
6
1
0
1
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
8-15
6-11
53%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.5
28.9
31.2
7
24%
6
2
0
1
1
2
0
6
2-2
100%
1-10
5-11
10%
44%
1-4
25%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.0
22.6
25.4
6
33%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.4
6.9
17.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
38.1
19.0
22
69%
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
40%
4-8
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.5
26.9
16.7
8
57%
3
2
4
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
20.7
12.9
11
56%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
53%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.8
15.4
20.1
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 22.0
8.3
13.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.4
7.6
0
1-2
51%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.4
5.6
0
0-1
39%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
34.0
28.0
16
42%
4
6
2
1
0
6
1
3
5-5
100%
4-13
2-4
31%
54%
1-4
25%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.5
32.2
18.2
9
50%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
29.1
24.8
6
38%
15
2
0
1
0
3
5
10
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
14.2
11.5
12
77%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.3
2.7
23.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
6-10
-
54%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
29.7
22.1
5
51%
3
0
1
0
2
3
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
25.6
18.3
16
67%
10
2
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
4-8
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
24.6
14.8
11
48%
1
2
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-1
0%
4-9
2-4
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
23.9
22.3
2
26%
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-3
0%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
15.2
10.3
3
31%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
8.8
4.9
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
33.3
2
8-15
57%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.4
2.3
0
0-1
56%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.