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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
April 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors20%9596
11Rockets80%10699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
43.5
37.5
24
58%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
7-14
5-12
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.1
40.4
29.0
16
51%
5
8
1
1
0
5
0
5
6-6
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
45%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
37.0
17.9
9
36%
6
2
1
0
2
2
1
5
1-1
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
0-6
0%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
26.9
26.7
8
57%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
46%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
11.6
13.6
4
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-4
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
34.1
28.9
19
83%
7
1
1
1
1
3
0
7
0-1
0%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
3-4
75%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
28.9
21.1
8
51%
4
2
2
1
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
43%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 36.5
17.6
8.4
8
106%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
4-4
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.4
29.3
1
2-5
48%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.9
13.4
1
2-4
46%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
12.7
0
3-6
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.1
6.2
0
0-1
56%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.6
5.4
0
1-1
45%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
40.7
32.5
18
53%
3
7
3
1
0
5
2
1
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.5
38.7
35.5
20
56%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
4-10
40%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.0
28.3
33.3
13
47%
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
6-13
7-13
46%
53%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 38.1
23.5
22.3
4
33%
9
5
2
1
2
0
2
7
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.5
22.0
29.0
8
57%
5
0
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.9
27.2
25.7
11
70%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
2-4
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.1
25.6
24.7
10
63%
5
3
0
1
0
3
4
1
0-0
-
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.9
18.5
9.6
9
82%
8
0
0
0
3
0
3
5
5-8
63%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
8.2
2.6
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.1
7.3
18.1
0
0%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.2
6.8
0
1-2
49%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 35.9
3.4
0
0-1
46%
Diamon Simpson
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
Courtney Fortson
G · 5'11" 185 · 23.9
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.