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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Knicks49%97113
17Hawks51%98112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.9
42.3
32.7
39
54%
10
2
2
1
0
2
2
8
8-9
89%
11-27
7-14
41%
46%
3-5
60%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.8
36.3
27.4
11
62%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
34.4
28.4
22
67%
12
0
1
1
1
4
1
11
4-8
50%
9-13
5-10
69%
50%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 33.0
31.4
11.1
13
72%
1
10
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
3-4
75%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
30.4
21.8
18
107%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
3-3
100%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
31.6
32.1
7
50%
4
4
5
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
45%
1-5
20%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.9
20.2
23.6
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.2
7.3
6.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.9
5.7
22.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
0.5
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.6
30.7
1
3-5
62%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 34.2
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.6
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.8
38.8
24.7
29
85%
11
0
1
1
3
1
3
8
5-7
71%
6-8
3-5
75%
47%
4-6
67%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
37.7
29.1
22
72%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-3
0%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
4-4
100%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.4
36.9
29.9
14
49%
5
4
0
1
3
5
0
5
3-3
100%
4-11
7-14
36%
49%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.9
35.9
23.4
23
69%
3
6
5
1
1
4
0
3
4-6
67%
8-12
3-5
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.3
27.7
21.5
3
38%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.7
17.6
15.7
6
77%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.0
13.4
26.3
1
17%
4
0
3
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
0-2
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.9
13.0
14.6
2
33%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
12.1
18.1
12
75%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
4-6
67%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.4
6.9
10.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.4
16.0
0
1-2
42%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.5
5.2
0
0-1
41%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
1.4
0
0-0
56%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.2
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.