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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder53%99106
9Lakers47%98114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
50.6
36.9
35
46%
8
3
0
1
1
5
0
8
9-10
90%
7-24
7-13
29%
52%
4-10
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
47.4
31.1
14
27%
4
10
1
1
0
3
1
3
8-8
100%
3-18
7-14
17%
47%
0-4
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
46.2
24.1
18
55%
14
0
1
0
7
2
2
12
0-1
0%
9-16
4-7
56%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.4
43.2
27.1
4
67%
10
2
0
0
2
1
3
7
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
41.0
22.9
6
52%
10
1
3
1
1
4
2
8
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.5
15.5
22.7
6
50%
6
2
1
1
1
0
5
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.7
13.6
17.0
5
63%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
1-1
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.7
13.3
29.9
14
84%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
13.1
9.5
4
52%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
4.7
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.3
1.6
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-2
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.5
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.7
49.2
19.1
26
45%
6
8
1
1
0
3
1
5
6-7
86%
7-23
4-8
30%
47%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.8
49.0
32.5
20
46%
14
9
2
0
1
1
6
8
6-8
75%
7-16
7-13
44%
51%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.0
30.4
26.2
8
37%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.5
28.9
31.1
10
32%
8
1
0
0
5
0
2
6
0-1
0%
5-15
8-14
33%
56%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.4
17.6
32.3
12
51%
5
1
3
1
0
1
3
2
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
0-3
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.2
36.2
21.0
13
66%
5
3
2
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
3-5
60%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.7
35.1
5.0
14
55%
15
0
1
0
3
2
6
9
2-4
50%
6-11
1-1
55%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.5
26.6
18.2
8
48%
5
0
2
0
1
1
3
2
6-10
60%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.1
16.9
25.4
3
39%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.1
16.3
0
1-3
52%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
10.0
0
1-1
49%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.3
3.4
0
0-1
44%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.