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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Raptors43%9473
23Pistons57%9676
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 29.5
34.7
32.4
4
17%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Ben Uzoh
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.1
30.6
26.8
5
25%
4
1
2
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
2-9
3-7
22%
44%
0-0
-
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
28.1
32.1
16
50%
1
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
6-13
6-12
46%
47%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.4
17.0
15.2
6
75%
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.0
14.3
23.3
2
33%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
58%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.9
28.7
27.8
7
60%
8
2
1
1
0
1
4
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.1
24.0
9.8
6
38%
10
0
1
0
1
0
4
6
2-2
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
49%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.3
22.8
11.9
12
55%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
1-2
33%
49%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.2
22.4
23.0
5
25%
5
4
0
1
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.2
17.4
19.1
10
105%
3
4
1
1
0
5
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
2-5
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.6
11.3
0
1-2
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.9
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.1
35.6
24.7
9
46%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
34.3
26.9
8
37%
17
1
2
1
1
0
5
12
2-4
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
54%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
32.4
25.4
7
36%
3
6
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-1
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.4
31.7
28.0
19
48%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
7-14
3-6
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
18.9
21.6
3
22%
3
0
0
1
2
2
0
3
1-4
25%
1-5
3-6
20%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.1
27.7
20.7
19
65%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
6-8
75%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
22.4
17.3
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.7
19.1
18.4
7
58%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.6
13.7
14.6
0
0%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
4.2
12.9
2
41%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.3
11.7
0
1-2
45%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
11.0
0
1-3
43%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
5.4
0
1-1
42%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.