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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Magic32%10174
5Nuggets68%107101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.0
38.0
36.0
24
62%
9
1
1
1
1
1
5
4
3-3
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
3-9
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.3
34.9
30.9
14
66%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
6-6
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
29.4
30.3
9
41%
2
3
3
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
1-4
25%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
26.8
30.8
9
35%
5
4
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.2
1.8
33.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-9
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
25.0
11.2
3
38%
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-4
25%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
21.2
6.3
6
33%
2
2
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
1-2
33%
41%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.8
20.3
8.6
7
52%
2
4
1
0
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.7
19.7
13.3
2
26%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
16.1
24.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.6
3.4
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.1
3.4
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.3
11.8
0
1-3
43%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
37.3
36.3
15
72%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
7-8
5-9
88%
51%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.7
34.9
31.8
17
66%
7
2
0
1
1
3
2
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.5
33.6
34.2
13
60%
5
10
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.4
29.9
25.3
11
62%
10
0
0
1
0
2
1
9
1-2
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
55%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.2
15.4
16.8
8
80%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.1
25.4
26.0
6
30%
1
11
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.1
25.3
17.5
8
54%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.3
23.9
18.0
17
69%
8
0
0
0
3
2
2
6
1-3
33%
8-11
3-6
73%
54%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.8
9.2
4.2
2
50%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.5
2.5
3.6
4
67%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
2.5
2.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
24.6
1
3-6
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
4.8
0
1-1
56%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.0
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.