Final Win Prob. pScore
1832%100
74
568%107
101
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
87.18583.6
DEN logo Nuggets
114.88889.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMozgov STEAL (2 STL)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENHamilton 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Stone 1 AST)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Liggins Free Throw 2 of 274
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMagic Rebound74
99
Q4 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Liggins Free Throw 1 of 274
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMozgov S.FOUL (P1.T4)74
99
Q4 - 0:53.0DENHamilton 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Koufos 1 AST)74
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 1:08ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)74
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 1:32DENKoufos 3' Layup (8 PTS)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43ORLMozgov STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53DENKoufos 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57ORLHamilton STEAL (1 STL)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07ORLHarper REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09DENMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29DENSUB: Koufos FOR McGee74
93
Q4 - 2:29DENSUB: Stone FOR Afflalo74
93
Q4 - 2:29DENSUB: Hamilton FOR Lawson74
93
Q4 - 2:29DENNUGGETS Rebound74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29ORLMISS Duhon 31' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32ORLOrton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34ORLMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54DENMozgov 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ORLDuhon 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wafer 4 AST)74
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ORLSUB: Liggins FOR Redick71
91
Q4 - 3:21ORLSUB: Harper FOR Davis71
91
Q4 - 3:21ORLSUB: Orton FOR Anderson71
91
Q4 - 3:21DENSUB: Mozgov FOR Gallinari71
91
Q4 - 3:21ORL71
91
Q4 - 3:21ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)71
91
Q4 - 3:29DENMcGee 2' Alley Oop Dunk (17 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:35DENMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45ORLMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58ORLWafer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 171
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00ORLDavis S.FOUL (P3.T4)71
89
Q4 - 4:00DENMcGee 1' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Lawson 10 AST)71
89
Q4 - 4:16ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)71
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 4:43ORLSUB: Wafer FOR Richardson71
86
Q4 - 4:43DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)71
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 4:43ORLDuhon Shooting Block Foul (P2.T3)71
85
Q4 - 4:49DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 4:50ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 5:09DENMcGee 2' Reverse Dunk (13 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)71
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 5:15DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 5:17DENMISS Gallinari 2' Driving Layup71
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 5:30DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 5:31ORLMISS Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 5:46DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 5:46DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 5:46DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)71
81
Q4 - 5:46ORLDavis Shooting Block Foul (P2.T2)71
81
Q4 - 5:53DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
1.9%
81
98.1%
Q4 - 5:54ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot71
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 6:05DENNUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)71
3.6%
81
96.4%
Q4 - 6:29DENSUB: Lawson FOR Miller71
81
Q4 - 6:29ORLRedick Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)71
2.6%
81
97.4%
Q4 - 6:50ORLDavis Violation:Defensive Goaltending71
81
Q4 - 6:50DENMiller 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)71
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 7:07ORLAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)71
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 7:07ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Smith70
79
Q4 - 7:07ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Richardson70
79
Q4 - 7:07ORLSUB: Redick FOR Wafer70
79
Q4 - 7:07ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)70
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 7:07DENGallinari S.FOUL (P3.T3)69
79
Q4 - 7:22ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 7:23DENMISS Miller 15' Jump Shot69
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q4 - 7:37DENSUB: Gallinari FOR Faried69
79
Q4 - 7:37ORLAnderson P.FOUL (P4.T1)69
79
Q4 - 7:44DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)69
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 7:45ORLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup69
3.5%
79
96.5%
Q4 - 7:57DENAfflalo Foul Turnover (P3.T15)69
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 7:57DENAfflalo OFF.Foul (P2)69
79
Q4 - 7:59DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
3.2%
79
96.8%
Q4 - 8:01ORLMcGee BLOCK (3 BLK)69
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 8:17DENMcGee 1' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 11 AST)69
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 8:3969
77
Q4 - 8:39ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)69
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q4 - 8:39ORLMagic Rebound69
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMcGee BLOCK (2 BLK)69
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q4 - 9:04DENFaried 1' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)69
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q4 - 9:22ORLSmith 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)69
11.2%
75
88.8%
Q4 - 9:39DENBrewer 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)67
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 9:59ORLWafer Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)67
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q4 - 9:59ORLMagic Rebound66
73
Q4 - 9:59ORLMISS Wafer Free Throw 1 of 266
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q4 - 9:59DENAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T2)66
73
Q4 - 10:11DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Lawson66
73
Q4 - 10:11DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T14)66
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q4 - 10:11DENFaried OFF.Foul (P3)66
73
Q4 - 10:22DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q4 - 10:24ORLMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 10:32ORLWafer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q4 - 10:34DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q4 - 10:40DENMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)66
9.7%
73
90.3%
Q4 - 10:41DENMISS Miller 10' Jump Bank Shot66
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q4 - 11:07ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)66
10.4%
73
89.6%
Q4 - 11:07ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)65
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q4 - 11:07DENMcGee S.FOUL (P1.T1)64
73
Q4 - 11:11ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)64
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q4 - 11:11ORLMISS Wafer 3' Reverse Layup64
7.5%
73
92.5%
Q4 - 11:24DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)64
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q4 - 11:38ORLWafer 5' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)64
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q4 - 12:0062
73
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN62
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot62
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 0:24.0DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)62
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLWafer Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLWafer Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENBrewer Personal Block Foul (P2.PN)60
71
Q3 - 0:50.0DENMcGee 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)60
6.2%
71
93.8%
Q3 - 0:52.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLOrton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
9.1%
69
90.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0ORLMISS Orton 1' Reverse Layup60
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Smith 5' Running Jump Shot60
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q3 - 1:12DENMcGee 2' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)60
9.5%
69
90.5%
Q3 - 1:25DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 1:27ORLMISS Orton Free Throw 2 of 260
11.7%
67
88.3%
Q3 - 1:27DENSUB: McGee FOR Gallinari60
67
Q3 - 1:27ORLSUB: Davis FOR Anderson60
67
Q3 - 1:27ORLMagic Rebound60
67
Q3 - 1:27ORLMISS Orton Free Throw 1 of 260
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 1:27DENFaried L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)60
67
Q3 - 1:27ORLMagic Rebound60
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 1:27DENMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot60
12.8%
67
87.2%
Q3 - 1:41ORLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)60
11.4%
67
88.6%
Q3 - 2:06ORLSUB: Wafer FOR Redick58
67
Q3 - 2:06DENSUB: Brewer FOR Afflalo58
67
Q3 - 2:07ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)58
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Smith 1' Driving Layup58
8.8%
67
91.2%
Q3 - 2:30DENMiller 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 2:46DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 2:48ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
12.3%
65
87.7%
Q3 - 3:11DENFaried L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)58
65
Q3 - 3:11ORLOrton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q3 - 3:11DENMISS Faried 1' Layup58
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q3 - 3:14DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 3:16DENMISS Gallinari 3PT Jump Shot58
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 3:29ORLOrton L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)58
65
Q3 - 3:29DENNUGGETS Rebound58
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 3:29DENMISS Lawson 17' Step Back Jump Shot58
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 3:40DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
12.1%
65
87.9%
Q3 - 3:41ORLMISS Smith 16' Fadeaway Jumper58
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q3 - 4:06DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)58
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 4:22ORLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)58
16.5%
63
83.5%
Q3 - 4:31DENSUB: Faried FOR Koufos58
63
Q3 - 4:31ORLSUB: Orton FOR Duhon58
63
Q3 - 4:31ORLSUB: Smith FOR Davis58
63
Q3 - 4:31ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Richardson58
63
Q3 - 4:31ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)58
63
Q3 - 4:40DENLawson 2' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)58
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 4:55ORLRichardson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 3 AST)58
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 5:25DENMiller 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)56
19.6%
61
80.4%
Q3 - 5:49ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q3 - 5:49ORLAnderson 2' Tip Shot (22 PTS)56
22.0%
59
78.0%
Q3 - 5:50ORLMISS Richardson 3' Driving Layup54
17.6%
59
82.4%
Q3 - 6:12DENAfflalo 2' Layup (13 PTS)54
19.7%
59
80.3%
Q3 - 6:15DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
22.1%
57
77.9%
Q3 - 6:16DENMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot54
24.3%
57
75.7%
Q3 - 6:26ORLAnderson P.FOUL (P3.T2)54
57
Q3 - 6:33ORLRichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)54
22.1%
57
77.9%
Q3 - 6:57DENGallinari P.FOUL (P2.T3)51
57
Q3 - 7:00DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)51
17.2%
57
82.8%
Q3 - 7:13DENAfflalo Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)51
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 7:13ORLDavis T.FOUL (P1.T1)51
56
Q3 - 7:13ORLDavis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)51
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q3 - 7:25DENMiller P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
56
Q3 - 7:25ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q3 - 7:25DENMISS Miller 3' Jump Shot51
19.0%
56
81.0%
Q3 - 7:43ORLDavis 2' Dunk (12 PTS) (Duhon 3 AST)51
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q3 - 7:58DENAfflalo 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 8:12DENSUB: Miller FOR Faried49
54
Q3 - 8:12DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
54
Q3 - 8:23DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 8:35DENKoufos Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)49
19.9%
54
80.1%
Q3 - 8:45DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
17.4%
54
82.6%
Q3 - 8:46ORLGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)49
18.1%
54
81.9%
Q3 - 9:08DENKoufos 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)49
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 9:19ORLRedick P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
52
Q3 - 9:19DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q3 - 9:20ORLMISS Redick 20' Jump Shot49
22.9%
52
77.1%
Q3 - 9:34DENGallinari 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)49
24.8%
52
75.2%
Q3 - 9:49ORLAnderson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)49
30.6%
49
69.4%
Q3 - 9:51ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
33.9%
49
66.1%
Q3 - 9:52ORLMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
31.6%
49
68.4%
Q3 - 10:02ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
33.5%
49
66.5%
Q3 - 10:03DENMISS Afflalo 5' Jump Shot49
32.4%
49
67.6%
Q3 - 10:20ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)49
30.2%
49
69.8%
Q3 - 10:26DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)46
24.7%
49
75.3%
Q3 - 10:48ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
22.0%
49
78.0%
Q3 - 10:48ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q3 - 10:48DENLawson S.FOUL (P1.T1)44
49
Q3 - 11:03DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)44
20.0%
49
80.0%
Q3 - 11:20DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
24.6%
46
75.4%
Q3 - 11:21ORLMISS Anderson 20' Fadeaway Jumper44
25.5%
46
74.5%
Q3 - 11:41DENKoufos 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)44
27.4%
46
72.6%
Q3 - 12:0044
44
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN44
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
30.1%
44
69.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot44
32.0%
44
68.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLDuhon Personal Block Foul (P1.T4)44
44
Q2 - 0:20.0DENBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
30.5%
44
69.5%
Q2 - 0:21.0DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
32.0%
44
68.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0ORLDavis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)44
30.5%
44
69.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLOrton Violation:Defensive Goaltending44
44
Q2 - 0:50.0DENLawson 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)44
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 1:01ORLDavis 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)44
36.2%
42
63.8%
Q2 - 1:13DENSUB: Mozgov FOR Faried42
42
Q2 - 1:21ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
32.3%
42
67.7%
Q2 - 1:23DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
31.8%
42
68.2%
Q2 - 1:37ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q2 - 1:37ORLSUB: Orton FOR Anderson41
42
Q2 - 1:37ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q2 - 1:37DENBrewer S.FOUL (P1.T2)40
42
Q2 - 1:50ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Wafer40
42
Q2 - 1:50ORLMagic Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)40
42
Q2 - 1:59DENAfflalo 8' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)40
27.0%
42
73.0%
Q2 - 2:07ORLBrewer STEAL (1 STL)40
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 2:13ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 2:14DENMISS Faried 2' Reverse Layup40
31.6%
40
68.4%
Q2 - 2:28DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
29.8%
40
70.2%
Q2 - 2:29ORLMISS Redick 15' Turnaround Jump Shot40
30.6%
40
69.4%
Q2 - 2:48DENLawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)40
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 2:59DENSUB: Brewer FOR Miller40
37
Q2 - 2:59DENNUGGETS Rebound40
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 3:00DENMISS Miller 2' Finger Roll Layup40
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 3:09DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
37.5%
37
62.5%
Q2 - 3:10ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
38.5%
37
61.5%
Q2 - 3:23DENMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)40
40.9%
37
59.1%
Q2 - 3:38ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)40
37.5%
37
62.5%
Q2 - 3:51DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)37
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 4:05ORLDavis P.FOUL (P1.T3)37
37
Q2 - 4:15ORLSUB: Davis FOR Orton37
37
Q2 - 4:15ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
37
Q2 - 4:15ORLWafer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)37
29.1%
37
70.9%
Q2 - 4:38DENLawson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
31.9%
37
68.1%
Q2 - 4:53DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
34.3%
35
65.7%
Q2 - 4:54ORLMISS Duhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
35.2%
35
64.8%
Q2 - 5:08ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
36.8%
35
63.2%
Q2 - 5:09DENMISS Gallinari 3' Driving Layup37
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 5:31ORLAnderson 20' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Redick 2 AST)37
34.3%
35
65.7%
Q2 - 5:47DENAfflalo 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)35
31.6%
35
68.4%
Q2 - 5:53ORLAnderson P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
33
Q2 - 6:02DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
33.6%
33
66.4%
Q2 - 6:03ORLMISS Wafer 20' Jump Shot35
34.6%
33
65.4%
Q2 - 6:17DENFaried 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)35
36.7%
33
63.3%
Q2 - 6:28DENSUB: Faried FOR Mozgov35
31
Q2 - 6:28DENSUB: Gallinari FOR Brewer35
31
Q2 - 6:28DENSUB: Lawson FOR McGee35
31
Q2 - 6:28ORLSUB: Redick FOR Richardson35
31
Q2 - 6:28DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
31
Q2 - 6:34ORLAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)35
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q2 - 6:40DENMcGee Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)32
34.1%
31
65.9%
Q2 - 7:01ORLOrton 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wafer 3 AST)32
31.0%
31
69.0%
Q2 - 7:07ORLOrton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
28.9%
31
71.1%
Q2 - 7:08DENMISS Miller 1' Driving Layup30
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 7:16ORLRichardson 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wafer 2 AST)30
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 7:35DENMcGee 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)28
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q2 - 7:58ORLAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)28
26.5%
29
73.5%
Q2 - 8:09ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q2 - 8:12ORLMcGee BLOCK (1 BLK)25
21.5%
29
78.5%
Q2 - 8:14ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q2 - 8:15ORLMISS Orton 3' Layup25
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q2 - 8:27ORLSUB: Orton FOR Davis25
29
Q2 - 8:2725
29
Q2 - 8:27DENMozgov Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T6)25
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q2 - 8:42ORLAnderson 22' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)25
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 9:01DENBrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)23
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 9:01ORLWafer S.FOUL (P1.T1)23
28
Q2 - 9:01DENBrewer 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)23
28
Q2 - 9:12ORLWafer 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
22.6%
26
77.4%
Q2 - 9:35DENMcGee 2' Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)21
21.0%
26
79.0%
Q2 - 9:53ORLAnderson 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Wafer 1 AST)21
22.6%
24
77.4%
Q2 - 10:04ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q2 - 10:05DENMISS Brewer 15' Turnaround Jump Shot19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q2 - 10:23DENSUB: Afflalo FOR Gallinari19
24
Q2 - 10:23ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Smith19
24
Q2 - 10:23ORLSUB: Wafer FOR Richardson19
24
Q2 - 10:23ORLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q2 - 10:26DENMcGee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
21.1%
24
78.9%
Q2 - 10:30DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q2 - 10:31DENMISS Mozgov 17' Jump Shot19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q2 - 10:40DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q2 - 10:41ORLMISS Richardson 21' Jump Shot19
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q2 - 11:07DENSUB: Mozgov FOR Koufos19
24
Q2 - 11:07ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Orton19
24
Q2 - 11:07DENKoufos L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)19
24
Q2 - 11:07ORLMagic Rebound19
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q2 - 11:07DENMISS Gallinari 22' Jump Shot19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q2 - 11:13DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q2 - 11:14ORLMISS Richardson 23' Jump Shot19
20.0%
24
80.0%
Q2 - 11:28ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q2 - 11:29DENMISS McGee 1' Layup19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q2 - 11:34DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
20.6%
24
79.4%
Q2 - 12:0019
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL19
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)19
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLDavis 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)19
19.8%
24
80.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0DENMiller Personal Take Foul (P1.T3)17
24
Q1 - 0:28.0DENBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)17
18.0%
24
82.0%
Q1 - 0:36.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot17
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLOrton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot17
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q1 - 1:00DENFaried Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)17
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q1 - 1:19ORLDavis 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)17
24.8%
19
75.2%
Q1 - 1:44DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)15
22.7%
19
77.3%
Q1 - 1:44DENNUGGETS Rebound15
18
Q1 - 1:44DENMISS McGee Free Throw 1 of 215
23.3%
18
76.7%
Q1 - 1:44ORLOrton L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)15
18
Q1 - 1:44DENNUGGETS Rebound15
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 1:44ORLMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot15
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 1:49ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
24.3%
18
75.7%
Q1 - 1:50ORLMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot15
23.5%
18
76.5%
Q1 - 2:05ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 2:05DENMISS McGee 1' Layup15
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 2:14ORLSmith P.FOUL (P1.T4)15
18
Q1 - 2:23DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 2:24ORLMISS Smith 11' Jump Shot15
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 2:41ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Redick15
18
Q1 - 2:41ORLSUB: Davis FOR Anderson15
18
Q1 - 2:41DENSUB: Brewer FOR Lawson15
18
Q1 - 2:41DENSUB: Miller FOR Afflalo15
18
Q1 - 2:41ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
18
Q1 - 2:41DENGallinari Foul Turnover (P2.T3)15
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 2:41DENGallinari OFF.Foul (P1)15
18
Q1 - 2:46DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 2:47ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 2:55ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 2:56DENMISS Faried 10' Jump Shot15
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 3:07DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 3:08ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot15
23.4%
18
76.6%
Q1 - 3:28DENGallinari 2' Layup (9 PTS)15
24.6%
18
75.4%
Q1 - 3:40ORLSmith 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
26.2%
16
73.8%
Q1 - 4:01DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)13
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 4:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
27.9%
13
72.1%
Q1 - 4:09ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.4%
13
71.6%
Q1 - 4:21ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
29.7%
13
70.3%
Q1 - 4:21DENMISS McGee 11' Hook Shot13
29.2%
13
70.8%
Q1 - 4:33DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
28.0%
13
72.0%
Q1 - 4:34ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
28.5%
13
71.5%
Q1 - 4:51DENGallinari 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
29.8%
13
70.2%
Q1 - 5:08ORLSUB: Orton FOR Davis13
11
Q1 - 5:08ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Richardson13
11
Q1 - 5:08DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
11
Q1 - 5:08ORLRichardson Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T2)13
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 5:21ORLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
32.9%
11
67.1%
Q1 - 5:23DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
32.4%
11
67.6%
Q1 - 5:45ORLRedick 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)13
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 5:53ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
29.7%
11
70.3%
Q1 - 5:54DENMISS Lawson 8' Running Jump Shot11
29.2%
11
70.8%
Q1 - 6:06DENNUGGETS Rebound11
11
Q1 - 6:06DENMISS Faried Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 211
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 6:06DENFaried Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 6:06ORL11
10
Q1 - 6:06ORLAnderson C.P.FOUL (P1.T3)11
10
Q1 - 6:09ORLRedick 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)11
29.3%
10
70.7%
Q1 - 6:28DENAfflalo 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)9
28.1%
10
71.9%
Q1 - 6:41ORLAnderson 1' Putback Dunk (5 PTS)9
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 6:42ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
28.2%
8
71.8%
Q1 - 6:43ORLMISS Richardson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup7
27.2%
8
72.8%
Q1 - 7:02DENGallinari 3' Layup (2 PTS)7
28.1%
8
71.9%
Q1 - 7:15ORLRedick 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)7
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 7:24DENSUB: McGee FOR Koufos5
6
Q1 - 7:24DENKoufos L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)5
6
Q1 - 7:24ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 7:24ORLMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup5
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 7:30ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 7:31DENMISS Gallinari 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
27.8%
6
72.2%
Q1 - 7:48ORLRichardson L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)5
6
Q1 - 7:48DENNUGGETS Rebound5
27.1%
6
72.9%
Q1 - 7:49DENMISS Koufos 1' Layup5
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 8:04ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 8:04DENKoufos S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 8:04ORLAnderson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 8:24DENAfflalo 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)2
25.4%
6
74.6%
Q1 - 8:29DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 8:30ORLMISS Smith 4' Finger Roll Layup2
26.7%
4
73.3%
Q1 - 8:56DENFaried 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)2
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 9:05DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
28.8%
2
71.2%
Q1 - 9:06ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 9:18ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 9:20DENMISS Lawson 21' Jump Shot2
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 9:33DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 9:34ORLMISS Davis 6' Jump Hook Shot2
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:57DENFaried 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:13ORLSUB: Smith FOR Nelson2
0
Q1 - 10:13ORLNelson Personal Take Foul (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 10:16ORLRichardson 3' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
30.9%
0
69.1%
Q1 - 10:29ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 10:31DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 10:41DENKoufos REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 10:42ORLMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 10:58DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 11:01DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:02ORLMISS Redick 21' Jump Shot0
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 11:24DENGallinari Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.1%
0
68.9%
Q1 - 11:41ORLKoufos STEAL (1 STL)0
31.3%
0
68.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Koufos vs. Davis: Tip to Nelson0
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLDEN
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.85 42.5%
DEN
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
12
26
46%
DEN
28
39
72%
Midrange
ORL
10
26
38%
DEN
11
24
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
DEN
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
ORL
12
17
71%
DEN
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Anderson2463%12.0 / 19
G. Davis1464%7.0 / 11
J. Redick941%4.5 / 11
J. Richardson935%4.5 / 13
V. Wafer750%3.5 / 7
I. Smith633%3.0 / 9
C. Duhon338%1.5 / 4
D. Orton225%1.0 / 4
J. Nelson0-0.0 / 0
Q. Richardson0-0.0 / 3
D. Liggins0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Gallinari1765%8.5 / 13
J. McGee1771%8.5 / 12
A. Afflalo1575%7.5 / 10
T. Lawson1359%6.5 / 11
K. Faried1169%5.5 / 8
K. Koufos880%4.0 / 5
C. Brewer857%4.0 / 7
A. Miller630%3.0 / 10
J. Hamilton467%2.0 / 3
T. Mozgov250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
72
+13
-13
85
DEN
73
+12
-15
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.85 42.5%
DEN
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
109.3
ORL 87.1
DEN 114.8 +27.7
Pace
88.9
94.1
ORL 83.6
DEN 89.5 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.6
ORL 17.2
DEN 16.1 −1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.6%
ORL 41.3%
DEN 59.6% +18.3%
TO %
15.7%
15.7%
ORL 16.2%
DEN 16.2%
ORB %
26.5%
27.7%
ORL 26.1%
DEN 30.0% +3.9%
FTrt
29.2
32.6
ORL 22.7 +8.6
DEN 14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
61.5%
ORL 67.9%
DEN 72.7% +4.8%
STL %
7.6%
8.6%
ORL 10.6% +4.9%
DEN 5.7%
BLK %
6.7%
8.1%
ORL 3.2%
DEN 9.6% +6.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
54.2%
ORL 42.5%
DEN 59.4% +16.9%
Rim FG%
57.7%
59.7%
ORL 46.2%
DEN 71.8% +25.6%
Mid FG%
34.8%
39.3%
ORL 38.5%
DEN 45.8% +7.3%
3P %
37.5%
33.2%
ORL 26.1%
DEN 33.3% +7.2%
FT %
66.0%
73.6%
ORL 70.6%
DEN 72.7% +2.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
48.0%
ORL 34.7%
DEN 50.0% +15.3%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
27.7%
ORL 34.7%
DEN 30.8% −3.9%
3P Att. %
34.6%
24.3%
ORL 30.7% +11.4%
DEN 19.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.
Game TotalsORLDEN
Possessions8588
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points74101
Rebounds3343
Assists1932
Steals95
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)13 (3)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals28-7544-78
At-the-Rim FG12-2628-39
Midrange FG10-2611-24
2-Point FG22-5239-63
3-Point FG6-235-15
Free Throws12-178-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
38.0
24
63%
9
1
1
1
1
4
5
4
3-3
100%
6-9
67%
3-9
33%
C · 6'9" 289 · 26
34.9
14
64%
3
1
0
0
3
3
1
2
6-6
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 28
29.4
9
41%
2
3
3
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-4
25%
F · 6'6" 225 · 31
26.8
9
35%
5
4
2
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 190 · 30
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
25.0
3
38%
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
21.2
6
33%
2
2
1
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 209 · 27
20.3
7
50%
2
4
1
0
3
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 275 · 22
19.7
2
25%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 228 · 32
16.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 209 · 24
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
#12 · C · 6'11" 265 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F · 6'10" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
74
43%
33
19
9
2
13
0
12
21
12-17
71%
22-52
42%
6-23
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.