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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 22, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets23%8998
4Clippers77%99107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
38.0
21.3
17
47%
2
5
0
1
0
6
0
2
8-12
67%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
1-5
20%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
30.9
22.4
13
66%
8
2
1
0
3
0
1
7
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
29.7
29.7
14
66%
8
1
1
1
1
1
3
5
3-6
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
44%
1-1
100%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.3
26.9
31.8
12
64%
1
7
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-1
0%
6-7
3-7
86%
47%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
24.6
11.4
10
85%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
46%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.1
19.9
16.6
4
41%
4
0
2
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
17.8
15.6
7
122%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-4
100%
42%
1-1
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
17.6
25.5
8
45%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
16.6
18.8
8
69%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
15.0
27.4
3
18%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 27.5
3.1
10.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
11.5
0
2-4
47%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
7.4
0
1-2
45%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.6
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.0
39.0
33.8
33
63%
4
13
8
2
0
2
0
4
17-19
89%
8-14
6-11
57%
52%
0-4
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.1
38.1
33.0
21
75%
15
2
1
1
0
1
6
9
7-9
78%
7-10
7-13
70%
54%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.6
36.2
25.5
24
71%
2
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
6-12
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.8
23.3
25.0
2
100%
3
1
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
64%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.1
8.7
24.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.3
28.6
22.1
9
31%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
3-8
3-5
38%
47%
0-5
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.3
22.9
25.2
6
52%
7
0
2
1
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.9
18.8
6.5
6
34%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
1-5
20%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
12.9
13.4
5
64%
0
3
0
1
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.9
11.4
4.3
1
57%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.9
20.5
0
2-5
46%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.6
1.8
0
0-0
46%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.9
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.