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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons22%9297
14Pacers78%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
36.3
29.5
18
51%
12
0
1
1
1
5
7
5
2-6
33%
8-15
5-10
53%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.4
35.5
29.2
16
54%
4
4
0
1
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
43%
3-5
60%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
29.8
20.8
10
46%
7
1
2
0
2
0
1
6
2-4
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.2
29.5
29.1
14
57%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
1-1
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.0
20.4
28.0
0
0%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
4-8
-
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.1
27.6
23.5
7
36%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
3-4
75%
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.9
18.5
8.2
11
66%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
2-3
67%
3-5
1-2
60%
40%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.7
18.3
18.7
13
72%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.6
13.6
13.4
6
50%
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.3
10.7
9.8
2
50%
0
5
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.1
19.6
1
2-4
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.3
8.1
0
1-2
43%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.5
4.0
0
0-1
38%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
33.7
29.9
27
63%
10
4
3
2
0
1
1
9
13-15
87%
4-8
3-7
50%
52%
2-7
29%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.6
27.7
29.5
20
50%
5
0
2
1
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
9-19
6-11
47%
52%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
23.1
10.1
6
40%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
18.3
2.1
10
50%
7
1
0
0
2
0
3
4
0-0
-
5-10
0-0
50%
53%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
17.1
8.0
2
33%
4
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
30.9
16.8
4
23%
3
4
0
1
0
6
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
50%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.4
29.3
20.6
13
49%
9
2
4
1
0
1
4
5
4-5
80%
3-10
3-6
30%
50%
1-1
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.5
28.2
20.3
13
53%
8
1
0
1
0
3
5
3
5-5
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.4
15.9
14.0
2
15%
5
0
1
0
1
0
5
0
0-4
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
9.9
2.4
2
35%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
5.9
2.8
4
69%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.0
31.6
1
3-6
52%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.4
27.8
1
5-9
51%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.3
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.