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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 23, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Trail Blazers18%9589
2Spurs82%107124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
45.0
37.7
24
47%
6
2
4
1
0
0
3
3
3-3
100%
6-18
4-8
33%
46%
3-6
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.8
33.7
12.4
13
39%
3
7
2
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
4-14
1-3
29%
45%
1-2
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.6
32.1
35.1
14
40%
10
1
1
1
2
2
3
7
4-6
67%
5-15
6-12
33%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.8
30.9
33.3
5
42%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.2
10.3
15.3
4
100%
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.7
34.1
29.3
10
42%
6
5
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
41%
0-3
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.6
20.0
12.4
4
40%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
18.0
16.4
9
50%
1
3
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-4
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.5
15.9
5.3
6
43%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.1
23.9
1
3-7
44%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.4
14.7
0
1-3
51%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.8
11.4
0
3-5
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.5
9.1
0
1-1
53%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
26.3
15.7
18
61%
8
2
1
0
4
1
0
8
2-4
50%
8-13
4-7
62%
51%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
24.7
21.4
6
60%
7
6
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
22.4
24.0
13
55%
7
6
0
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
19.3
24.3
2
25%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
14.7
21.1
18
131%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
4-4
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.1
22.8
22.9
12
60%
3
4
5
1
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
21.3
6.6
11
70%
5
0
0
0
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
0-1
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
19.8
19.1
12
64%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
3-5
60%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
17.8
19.2
3
75%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
17.4
22.2
6
51%
2
3
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
12.6
19.1
6
75%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
12.0
9.0
9
113%
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
3-4
75%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
9.1
19.6
8
86%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-6
67%
2-2
3-6
100%
59%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.