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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat51%9066
19Celtics49%8978
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.9
27.8
22.0
8
35%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-9
2-4
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.1
25.8
13.1
12
60%
4
3
0
0
2
5
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.2
23.6
22.4
8
40%
1
1
2
0
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
23.5
24.7
6
68%
13
1
1
0
0
2
2
11
0-1
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.6
19.6
24.1
5
63%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-2
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.6
26.5
24.2
11
79%
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
36%
3-4
75%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.5
25.8
23.7
6
26%
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
0-1
0%
3-10
3-7
30%
42%
0-1
0%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.7
24.4
11.5
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.2
21.8
7.7
6
30%
9
2
1
0
0
4
0
9
2-2
100%
2-9
1-2
22%
43%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
21.1
24.6
4
40%
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
52%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.3
27.4
1
6-12
54%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.3
14.0
1
3-6
51%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.4
1.9
0
0-1
51%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.3
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.4
29.8
34.4
8
34%
2
3
3
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.0
28.4
33.8
8
50%
8
0
2
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
4-8
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.5
24.9
13.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-4
0%
0-3
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
23.4
18.7
16
80%
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
42%
2-4
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.5
17.9
23.1
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
6
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
29.6
16.4
13
51%
5
4
2
1
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
5-11
2-4
45%
47%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.2
24.5
10.1
7
58%
7
1
0
0
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
1-2
50%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.2
22.7
6.8
6
33%
3
0
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
19.6
4.4
5
40%
4
2
2
0
2
2
2
2
3-3
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.0
19.3
19.8
7
64%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.2
21.1
1
2-5
48%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.9
20.8
1
5-9
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.6
16.4
1
1-2
51%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.2
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.