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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings18%94110
2Thunder82%106118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.2
46.2
26.6
11
47%
5
9
2
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.8
40.0
30.8
22
81%
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
5
4-6
67%
9-11
4-8
82%
50%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
38.3
29.1
18
65%
4
4
1
1
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
8-12
5-10
67%
46%
0-1
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.7
35.2
30.2
32
62%
7
2
2
1
1
3
1
6
6-9
67%
13-22
7-16
59%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.6
33.5
20.5
20
57%
7
1
4
0
2
0
1
6
4-6
67%
5-9
2-5
56%
40%
2-6
33%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.3
16.7
17.0
3
38%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.9
12.2
19.3
2
100%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.2
9.0
20.2
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.2
8.9
9.6
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.8
0.0
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.8
15.5
0
2-5
42%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.9
13.8
0
2-4
47%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-1
46%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.6
31.6
38.1
32
61%
9
1
2
1
1
3
0
9
15-16
94%
4-13
8-14
31%
54%
3-6
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
27.2
33.7
13
42%
8
6
2
2
2
2
5
3
5-6
83%
4-11
8-15
36%
49%
0-2
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.5
23.1
30.0
10
56%
5
3
0
0
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
20.2
29.3
4
50%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
19.3
27.0
11
85%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
53%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.7
28.7
14.7
11
75%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.5
27.8
18.9
6
50%
4
3
0
1
3
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
60%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
21.3
10.3
19
74%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
4-7
57%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.3
15.9
3.2
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.5
15.5
2.1
6
80%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
56%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.6
9.4
8.2
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.0
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
1.8
0
0-0
49%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.7
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.