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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 24, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets52%9683
26Warriors48%9581
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.6
35.6
29.1
8
43%
11
2
0
1
1
4
3
8
2-3
67%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
35.4
22.2
23
75%
4
4
3
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
7-12
2-5
58%
46%
2-2
100%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.0
34.4
16.7
4
29%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.1
29.4
17.7
13
51%
7
4
1
1
4
0
2
5
1-4
25%
6-11
2-4
55%
52%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.3
28.5
29.3
11
40%
6
7
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
4-10
3-7
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.6
26.0
22.0
14
55%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
4-6
67%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jerome Dyson
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.0
25.1
16.4
5
37%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-5
2-3
20%
44%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 27.5
18.6
6.9
4
38%
4
0
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-3
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.1
7.1
17.9
1
27%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
28.2
1
4-9
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
25.7
1
5-9
51%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.0
9.7
0
2-4
48%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
7.3
0
1-2
46%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
41.7
35.7
10
30%
5
10
0
1
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
4-14
5-11
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
40.0
24.6
13
34%
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-5
60%
5-17
4-9
29%
48%
0-0
-
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
29.7
12.2
7
44%
3
0
0
0
4
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
1-3
43%
48%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.2
27.5
38.7
16
64%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
6-9
6-12
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.8
20.5
23.8
8
67%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.6
26.7
3.3
5
51%
7
1
0
0
1
1
5
2
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 36.5
19.8
15.3
5
46%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
17.2
30.6
15
83%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
3-4
75%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
16.9
25.3
2
33%
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.4
16.3
1
1-3
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
11.0
0
3-5
52%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.9
9.7
0
1-3
48%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.1
5.2
0
0-0
57%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.