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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats16%9095
17Magic84%103102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
39.7
30.5
17
70%
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
5
7-7
100%
5-9
5-12
56%
46%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.5
37.1
16.7
23
60%
2
6
0
0
0
4
0
2
5-5
100%
6-13
1-4
46%
42%
2-4
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.7
30.4
31.7
5
64%
8
0
0
1
3
1
2
6
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.6
27.8
28.1
16
63%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.2
25.0
29.0
11
43%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-4
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.0
30.2
24.9
4
18%
9
5
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
40%
0-3
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
22.6
7.4
13
77%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
9-10
90%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 31.9
10.8
15.6
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.7
7.6
18.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.7
6.3
12.1
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.2
2.6
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.9
10.0
0
1-3
40%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.6
8.9
0
1-2
49%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.5
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.0
42.4
35.9
24
66%
13
1
1
1
0
1
7
6
6-7
86%
6-7
3-6
86%
53%
2-8
25%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.8
36.6
29.6
31
70%
3
3
1
1
0
2
2
1
7-7
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
49%
6-10
60%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
34.1
28.7
17
48%
9
2
0
1
1
0
2
7
2-2
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
51%
3-7
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.2
28.7
21.9
11
42%
9
9
2
1
0
3
0
9
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
51%
3-7
43%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.3
8.8
31.5
2
53%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
6-12
0%
49%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 32.0
23.8
21.2
1
13%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.7
22.1
15.5
8
63%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-3
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.7
19.3
16.1
0
0%
2
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.3
17.3
9.1
8
95%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
5.4
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
1.5
11.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.8
12.9
0
2-3
52%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.1
2.9
0
0-1
53%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.