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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Bulls62%9792
15Pacers38%9387
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.2
34.2
32.0
14
72%
14
2
0
1
1
2
3
11
4-4
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.0
33.5
32.8
9
41%
8
2
0
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
26.5
30.6
10
39%
0
7
1
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
3-9
6-12
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.2
26.4
25.0
4
20%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.4
23.1
26.3
16
80%
7
2
1
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
8-10
6-11
80%
52%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
24.9
22.7
10
56%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.1
21.8
19.1
20
77%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
44%
4-6
67%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
21.5
21.0
5
42%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.1
14.2
13.7
4
50%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.8
13.8
11.3
0
0%
9
0
0
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.4
14.2
0
2-4
43%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.6
6.0
0
1-1
47%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 36.8
1.5
0
0-0
40%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.6
34.6
5.8
22
73%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
8-11
1-1
73%
43%
2-4
50%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.0
28.5
30.7
7
25%
6
1
2
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
2-9
3-7
22%
48%
0-3
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.0
23.9
21.0
7
50%
3
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.4
23.8
18.8
4
50%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.7
20.8
28.2
13
67%
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
5-8
5-11
63%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.5
27.2
23.0
4
25%
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-7
3-8
14%
42%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
26.4
15.3
9
56%
0
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.4
20.2
14.5
5
29%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
1-4
25%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
20.2
21.9
6
43%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.5
10.3
11.8
10
102%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
2-3
67%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
4.0
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.4
23.4
1
3-7
46%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 25.3
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.0
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.