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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 25, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Spurs48%102110
13Suns52%103106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.7
34.6
10.0
27
53%
2
5
1
0
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
6-15
1-2
40%
46%
3-8
38%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.0
28.2
17.1
10
45%
8
2
2
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
53%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.0
21.2
22.0
3
80%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.8
17.0
22.5
10
56%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
17.0
18.9
9
50%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.1
28.7
11.4
2
25%
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.1
25.7
22.5
9
57%
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.7
24.2
1.7
9
58%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-3
0-0
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.3
19.8
16.2
26
81%
5
1
0
0
1
2
3
2
6-7
86%
10-13
3-5
77%
58%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.1
19.5
18.8
3
38%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Derrick Byars
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
4.1
15.6
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.6
19.1
0
2-5
47%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.7
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.0
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.4
29.3
31.7
21
62%
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
45%
3-5
60%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
23.8
21.0
6
43%
6
1
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.2
23.4
28.4
9
70%
10
0
2
1
3
1
4
6
1-1
100%
4-6
6-10
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.8
21.0
33.2
8
57%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.2
17.4
31.1
8
57%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
53%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.1
24.6
17.2
10
71%
5
1
0
0
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.8
24.2
15.6
4
20%
5
4
1
0
1
1
0
5
4-4
100%
0-8
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.7
21.7
17.8
14
47%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-11
2-5
45%
46%
1-3
33%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.9
21.6
15.6
20
68%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
7-10
2-4
70%
43%
1-3
33%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.8
21.5
9.6
4
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
11.4
4.0
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
41%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.9
13.7
0
1-3
47%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.6
7.2
0
1-2
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.