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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Nuggets54%10175
1976ers46%9984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.0
36.6
33.4
16
45%
5
7
2
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
6-15
5-10
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
34.8
33.7
11
38%
4
4
2
1
1
4
1
3
1-3
33%
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
0-4
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.7
29.7
11.0
6
63%
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
5
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.9
17.1
25.7
6
33%
7
0
1
1
0
2
5
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
12.8
6.3
4
40%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.6
32.4
20.1
10
33%
7
5
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
5-14
3-6
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.7
27.4
20.4
8
44%
6
0
1
1
0
5
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
2-6
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
20.6
20.9
5
28%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
18.3
24.8
4
40%
7
0
0
1
3
3
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
10.3
8.1
5
63%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
28.5
1
3-7
44%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.3
9.0
0
2-4
45%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.0
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 22.4
41.4
34.5
14
38%
6
11
2
2
0
3
2
4
4-5
80%
5-13
4-9
38%
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.8
36.5
26.1
10
38%
4
2
4
1
3
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.4
36.5
26.8
13
49%
5
1
2
1
1
1
1
4
1-3
33%
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24.0
28.5
26.1
5
34%
6
2
0
1
0
3
0
6
1-1
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.7
17.0
16.2
3
26%
4
0
0
0
1
1
4
0
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 24.5
31.0
24.1
16
67%
12
2
2
0
5
3
3
9
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.9
27.6
25.8
14
48%
7
0
2
1
1
2
2
5
6-6
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-8
25%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 27.4
18.7
19.9
9
46%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Maalik Wayns
G · 6'1" 195 · 21.5
2.5
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.8
0.3
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.6
10.1
0
1-2
51%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.0
9.8
0
1-2
49%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.9
3.3
0
0-0
41%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.