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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets58%100105
29Pistons42%9796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
44.1
30.9
37
67%
6
12
4
1
1
4
1
5
5-6
83%
10-15
3-6
67%
51%
4-10
40%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.0
42.4
29.4
11
49%
7
6
0
1
0
3
2
5
4-5
80%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
35.5
24.8
12
47%
4
8
4
2
0
4
0
4
2-2
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
33.0
18.4
12
69%
9
0
1
1
2
3
2
7
2-6
33%
5-6
1-3
83%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
25.6
9.0
6
30%
7
1
0
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
46%
0-2
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
23.9
23.7
15
125%
7
0
1
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
5-6
83%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
17.0
11.0
10
102%
5
0
2
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-4
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.6
12.6
13.8
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
5.9
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
17.0
1
2-4
46%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.8
15.8
1
2-4
47%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.1
14.9
0
2-4
49%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.0
9.4
0
1-2
49%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.6
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
36.8
27.1
9
33%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
7-8
88%
1-7
3-8
14%
45%
0-3
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.9
36.8
30.4
15
43%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
4-11
3-7
36%
44%
1-4
25%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.4
35.1
31.5
14
49%
8
4
3
1
0
4
2
6
0-3
0%
7-13
6-11
54%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
32.4
25.0
12
56%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-8
3-8
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.7
24.0
20.0
10
63%
8
0
0
1
2
2
4
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
49%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
19.5
21.7
7
42%
4
1
1
1
0
0
4
0
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
15.6
12.1
10
100%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
13.8
11.3
8
67%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.8
13.2
8.6
9
75%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.2
12.9
19.2
2
100%
2
0
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.4
12.4
0
1-3
42%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.2
10.7
0
1-3
48%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
10.3
0
1-2
48%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.