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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Mavericks38%9694
18Jazz62%100113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
32.7
29.3
17
64%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
2-2
100%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
30.6
28.2
12
56%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
0-4
3-7
0%
42%
3-5
60%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.5
29.4
29.6
5
36%
11
4
0
1
0
4
2
9
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
25.9
18.5
15
84%
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
7-8
3-5
88%
56%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.6
25.7
31.6
5
28%
7
2
3
1
2
2
3
4
1-2
50%
2-8
5-9
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.3
21.6
17.0
8
34%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
2-6
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
20.0
24.1
12
44%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
44%
2-4
50%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
16.1
7.2
8
52%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
6-6
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
15.3
18.8
8
74%
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.9
8.0
9.0
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.8
7.7
9.6
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.4
6.0
8.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
0.8
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.4
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.7
32.9
32.6
13
47%
15
3
1
2
0
0
8
7
3-4
75%
5-12
6-12
42%
50%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
29.9
22.1
21
58%
2
6
2
1
2
2
0
2
5-5
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
45%
2-4
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
29.6
24.7
21
69%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
5-5
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.8
28.5
31.9
12
47%
14
2
3
1
0
1
5
9
4-4
100%
4-11
7-15
36%
49%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.6
23.8
29.4
11
45%
3
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
3-5
60%
4-9
3-5
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.1
21.9
23.3
13
63%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
2-4
50%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
18.1
3.2
2
25%
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.3
18.0
24.7
6
65%
10
0
0
1
2
3
2
8
4-6
67%
1-2
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
16.2
7.4
5
37%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.4
14.3
14.9
6
51%
7
0
1
0
1
4
1
6
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
2.3
15.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
2-5
-
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
2.3
7.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.0
2.3
6.5
1
57%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.4
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.