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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 31, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Warriors40%10087
17Suns60%10385
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
39.3
30.9
6
18%
9
3
0
1
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
2-16
7-14
13%
50%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
33.8
27.2
16
50%
8
1
0
1
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
4-7
57%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
30.4
25.7
5
16%
7
3
2
1
0
4
3
4
1-3
33%
2-8
3-6
25%
48%
0-6
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.9
18.5
24.6
8
62%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-1
0%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.4
13.8
14.8
6
51%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
29.5
25.2
10
57%
3
7
1
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.3
23.5
24.1
14
68%
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
6-7
2-4
86%
48%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
22.9
12.1
17
79%
6
1
1
0
0
2
5
1
3-4
75%
7-9
2-4
78%
50%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.0
13.9
6.9
3
52%
5
0
3
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
13.3
22.6
2
35%
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
1.3
7.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
13.2
1
2-4
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
11.4
0
1-1
55%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.3
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.5
36.7
28.4
17
52%
6
8
3
1
1
3
1
5
8-10
80%
3-7
3-6
43%
51%
1-5
20%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 27.3
35.1
30.4
11
43%
6
3
1
1
0
4
1
5
2-4
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
1-6
17%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.7
34.2
30.1
10
50%
9
1
0
1
5
3
3
6
0-0
-
5-10
6-11
50%
55%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 32.5
31.9
24.9
15
58%
11
1
3
1
3
0
2
9
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
1-2
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.8
22.1
16.4
8
37%
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-7
3-6
14%
47%
1-2
50%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 27.5
23.1
0.4
10
56%
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
5-9
0-0
56%
50%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.2
16.1
20.6
4
40%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.9
15.8
22.0
8
41%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 34.1
13.7
10.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 27.4
11.3
12.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 25.3
22.4
1
1-3
45%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.2
15.2
1
2-3
46%
Luke Zeller
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.6
6.4
0
1-2
51%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 29.5
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.