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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 1, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder41%9984
2Spurs59%10286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
40.6
38.4
23
57%
14
5
2
1
0
4
2
12
4-5
80%
8-16
6-13
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
37.5
35.7
18
37%
8
5
0
2
0
6
3
5
6-8
75%
6-18
7-16
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
31.0
29.5
4
29%
9
0
0
1
2
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
28.0
20.4
2
50%
6
2
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
27.3
21.0
8
51%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.7
32.5
25.9
15
64%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
3-6
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.0
20.0
17.3
6
44%
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.7
12.2
5.3
1
57%
2
0
2
0
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
10.6
9.7
7
58%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.5
0.3
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.4
17.7
1
2-4
43%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.1
8.0
0
1-2
46%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.6
4.0
0
0-1
45%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.5
35.3
26.2
10
64%
7
4
1
1
1
3
1
6
2-4
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
34.9
33.5
14
50%
3
11
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-11
7-14
45%
49%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
34.6
29.1
13
72%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.5
33.7
31.4
20
46%
8
1
0
1
3
0
0
8
4-6
67%
8-19
7-14
42%
49%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.3
32.1
31.5
6
34%
4
1
5
2
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
52%
0-3
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
27.4
21.8
11
51%
6
3
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
1-5
20%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
16.8
17.1
8
67%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.5
10.5
8.4
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
8.2
11.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.8
4.3
15.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
2.3
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.2
11.8
0
1-3
42%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
4.9
0
0-1
45%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.