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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bucks32%9799
8Celtics68%10388
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
36.5
31.6
14
35%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-14
5-12
29%
45%
2-6
33%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.3
32.9
13.2
18
82%
6
2
0
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
45%
2-2
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.1
28.6
34.0
21
57%
2
13
6
2
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
8-14
5-11
57%
42%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
25.3
28.2
7
50%
11
1
1
1
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
15.5
19.0
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
23.4
21.1
10
74%
3
1
2
1
2
1
2
1
4-4
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.1
22.7
21.6
7
60%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
21.7
13.4
10
71%
7
0
0
1
2
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
43%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.3
21.3
14.6
10
68%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.8
9.6
4.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.0
2.6
9.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.1
20.6
1
4-8
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
8.5
0
0-1
51%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.8
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.7
40.5
40.1
14
51%
4
11
3
2
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
6-11
6-13
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
33.0
24.8
7
50%
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.1
27.8
36.1
11
43%
6
2
0
1
0
4
0
6
4-4
100%
2-8
5-11
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.5
26.9
27.3
10
64%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.5
25.5
29.9
15
46%
4
0
1
1
2
1
1
3
3-5
60%
6-14
6-12
43%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
26.7
14.1
11
61%
1
0
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
1-4
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.1
24.7
24.0
10
83%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.7
18.0
9.0
6
51%
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.9
7.2
14.5
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 27.4
4.5
6.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
2.6
9.5
2
114%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
2.6
5.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.9
3.1
0
0-0
45%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.