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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls65%101115
29Cavaliers35%9686
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
32
35
10
5
1
2
1
0
4
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
5-9
67%
51%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.5
31
39
14
5
1
1
1
2
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
27
30
19
7
6
1
1
0
3
1
6
5-7
71%
7-11
7-13
64%
51%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.7
27
25
19
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
8-10
4-10
80%
45%
0-2
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.8
17
27
9
3
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.4
27
21
16
5
12
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
47%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
21
16
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
18
21
8
6
1
0
1
1
1
0
6
2-4
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.1
17
11
8
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
16
4
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.7
4
6
0
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
3
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-2
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.6
30
31
15
2
4
1
1
0
4
1
1
3-6
50%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.1
30
31
12
5
2
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.9
25
27
7
2
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-2
0%
2-5
3-7
40%
42%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.4
25
30
12
4
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
3-8
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.6
24
28
6
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
44%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.7
21
15
3
3
4
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
18
17
8
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
2-5
40%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
18
12
4
2
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.8
18
7
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
14
13
8
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
2-5
40%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 24.4
7
12
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23.5
6
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
4
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.6
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.