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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Trail Blazers26%9592
3Thunder74%104106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.3
37.5
29.9
21
54%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
7-13
3-8
54%
41%
2-6
33%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.9
36.7
34.9
3
14%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-6
3-6
0%
50%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
35.8
35.9
22
45%
15
3
1
1
0
2
2
13
6-6
100%
8-21
8-16
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
35.5
34.2
17
49%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
1-6
3-7
17%
44%
4-9
44%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.2
25.6
23.4
14
48%
12
1
0
1
0
2
7
5
4-6
67%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.0
22.7
12.5
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.7
14.7
20.7
3
85%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.3
10.4
11.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
8.8
11.3
8
80%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
2-3
67%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
6.1
5.7
2
35%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
5.0
8.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.8
1.1
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.2
8.7
0
1-2
43%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.4
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
42.7
39.2
23
60%
17
7
0
1
2
6
2
15
8-12
67%
6-11
7-13
55%
52%
1-3
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
35.3
36.3
32
58%
5
6
0
2
0
1
1
4
6-8
75%
13-22
8-16
59%
47%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
26.7
30.3
7
29%
5
0
0
1
2
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-11
4-8
27%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
21.2
25.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
18.3
25.1
2
33%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.8
28.8
28.5
19
70%
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
6-6
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
46%
3-3
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.0
27.6
19.5
12
87%
5
2
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
57%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.7
17.5
9.1
4
82%
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
15.5
11.4
2
69%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.1
5.3
4.1
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.4
1.1
9.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.6
5.4
0
0-1
48%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.5
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.