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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings45%10080
26Timberwolves55%10292
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
33.5
26.8
10
46%
7
2
1
1
2
0
4
3
2-2
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
29.6
35.3
6
21%
7
5
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-13
6-12
23%
47%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.7
25.8
25.8
20
68%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
46%
3-7
43%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
25.3
26.8
11
41%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
5-13
6-14
38%
45%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
20.8
21.5
5
43%
6
2
2
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
27.6
30.6
15
52%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
0-4
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.4
20.1
15.9
3
39%
11
2
0
1
1
1
3
8
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
15.3
9.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
15.1
5.4
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.6
11.6
21.4
2
53%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.1
8.1
6.6
2
25%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
41%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.8
7.2
13.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.3
3.4
0
0-1
45%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.8
31.8
25.1
9
39%
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
5-8
63%
2-8
5-9
25%
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
30.6
1.9
10
60%
7
5
0
0
1
2
2
5
2-3
67%
4-7
0-0
57%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.3
30.2
6.7
10
32%
5
6
1
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
4-9
1-2
44%
47%
0-5
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.4
21.2
23.7
8
29%
7
0
0
1
1
0
4
3
2-4
50%
3-11
3-6
27%
47%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
20.5
27.7
9
64%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
27.5
20.4
21
72%
4
5
1
0
0
1
1
3
8-8
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
25.5
21.5
7
51%
9
0
0
1
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.4
21.5
22.8
9
34%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-5
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.1
16.2
19.7
9
51%
7
0
1
1
4
0
2
5
3-4
75%
3-7
2-3
43%
54%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 23.9
15.1
16.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
17.5
1
2-4
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
16.3
0
2-4
47%
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
6.5
0
0-1
44%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.