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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 2, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies58%103104
21Warriors42%10094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
37.4
36.2
21
64%
6
5
0
1
1
1
0
6
7-8
88%
7-13
5-11
54%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
36.1
32.9
15
61%
14
0
1
1
1
5
4
10
5-5
100%
5-9
6-12
56%
48%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
34.8
35.9
18
42%
8
0
0
1
1
2
2
6
4-8
50%
7-16
6-13
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
34.0
34.0
21
84%
3
7
5
2
0
3
0
3
8-8
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.8
29.8
26.3
6
32%
3
1
1
2
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
18.3
17.8
4
29%
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
17.8
12.0
4
69%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.9
17.7
15.7
10
73%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
14.0
16.0
5
83%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
9.2
0
2-4
48%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.6
5.1
0
1-1
45%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.6
2.9
0
0-1
43%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.5
2.6
0
0-1
52%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
42.5
18.7
26
64%
5
7
1
1
0
4
1
4
0-1
0%
4-10
2-5
40%
48%
6-10
60%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
38.5
30.6
11
51%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-10
38%
45%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
35.0
34.9
16
62%
7
0
0
1
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
8-13
8-16
62%
49%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.4
23.4
13.7
8
57%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.9
18.0
21.7
4
40%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
27.3
21.4
5
42%
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
23.7
18.2
20
65%
6
1
1
0
0
3
4
2
10-12
83%
5-10
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.0
12.5
10.9
4
40%
4
0
2
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
9.7
15.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
6.1
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.3
1.9
23.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
1.6
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
12.9
0
2-4
44%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.3
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.