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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics57%9889
27Wizards43%9586
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.7
40.5
39.8
12
60%
5
12
2
2
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
6-12
38%
48%
2-2
100%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.1
34.7
31.0
27
57%
7
3
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
6-14
4-9
43%
46%
4-8
50%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.7
30.2
14.3
4
67%
7
0
1
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.5
29.1
27.2
15
47%
7
2
0
1
1
1
0
7
1-2
50%
7-15
6-11
47%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
28.8
29.0
4
29%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-4
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.5
27.7
26.9
5
39%
5
2
1
1
2
0
2
3
1-1
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.1
17.4
24.0
8
41%
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
16.0
21.2
11
51%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.9
7.8
10.5
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
7.7
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 27.4
6.1
0
1-2
46%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.9
3.1
0
0-0
44%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
29.4
19.2
8
40%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
41%
2-5
40%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.9
28.7
20.8
11
53%
10
0
1
1
1
2
3
7
1-1
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
0-1
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.4
21.9
22.6
2
17%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
16.7
24.8
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
16.6
18.3
3
22%
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-6
3-5
17%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.9
28.6
19.7
19
88%
7
0
0
0
1
2
0
7
3-4
75%
8-9
4-7
89%
50%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
25.3
20.8
4
29%
4
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.0
25.2
26.5
21
63%
4
3
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-6
50%
6-10
4-9
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.5
21.8
19.7
4
40%
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.0
19.5
12.2
9
64%
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
41%
1-3
33%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
6.1
10.4
5
125%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.0
0.3
19.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.2
9.6
0
1-3
40%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.