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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Raptors43%102100
18Nets57%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.6
39.7
26.2
28
63%
8
8
3
1
1
5
0
8
6-7
86%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
4-10
40%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.0
34.3
27.4
13
54%
3
3
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-10
45%
47%
1-1
100%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
33.7
28.0
25
72%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
8-10
80%
7-11
5-11
64%
45%
1-2
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
22.0
24.4
2
25%
5
4
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
12.2
22.2
2
25%
3
2
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
21.1
28.0
2
20%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
18.5
8.4
3
52%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
16.8
20.3
11
62%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
5-8
3-5
63%
56%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
13.7
17.7
11
63%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
12.6
16.1
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
39%
1-2
50%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
9.3
9.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
6.0
5.9
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.7
9.0
0
1-2
44%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.8
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.3
39.7
30.3
14
47%
5
4
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
4-11
4-8
36%
48%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
38.9
32.2
19
54%
1
9
0
1
0
4
0
1
6-8
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
1-5
20%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.6
31.6
24.1
27
57%
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
11-15
73%
8-17
6-12
47%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
30.0
29.8
10
56%
6
4
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
22.8
29.8
5
37%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.5
27.7
21.6
15
83%
2
1
1
1
2
3
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
39%
3-4
75%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.8
18.4
25.1
8
68%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.5
15.7
4.2
2
50%
13
0
1
0
1
2
2
11
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
14.8
16.9
7
39%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.5
0.5
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.6
8.3
0
1-2
44%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.1
6.0
0
1-1
48%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.0
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.