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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Warriors19%98114
4Clippers81%110110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
43.0
25.5
23
56%
4
4
3
1
0
5
0
4
9-10
90%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
2-7
29%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
29.3
34.6
8
50%
12
4
0
1
0
1
1
11
0-0
-
4-8
7-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
28.3
34.2
17
46%
8
3
1
1
0
2
3
5
3-3
100%
4-11
4-10
36%
43%
2-6
33%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.0
27.8
12.5
8
48%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
4-10
40%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.4
19.9
19.9
10
73%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
32.2
21.5
23
65%
10
2
0
0
1
2
6
4
1-4
25%
11-16
4-8
69%
49%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
31.5
23.2
16
75%
6
7
1
1
0
0
2
4
6-6
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
45%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
22.0
13.7
9
51%
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-2
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
5.4
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
0.4
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
0.1
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
13.3
0
2-5
42%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.3
7.5
0
1-2
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.9
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.6
38.0
32.7
19
50%
11
4
3
1
0
2
2
9
11-16
69%
4-12
7-14
33%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.5
33.3
33.1
27
76%
2
10
1
2
0
5
0
2
19-20
95%
1-7
5-10
14%
51%
2-2
100%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.6
31.6
26.8
20
96%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
4-5
80%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.3
22.2
24.0
4
41%
8
0
0
1
2
1
3
5
0-2
0%
2-4
3-4
50%
63%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.3
15.9
17.6
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.6
31.9
28.1
27
64%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
7-9
78%
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
4-8
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.7
24.4
18.0
1
13%
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-3
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 28.1
17.8
11.1
4
106%
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.9
15.0
16.0
4
40%
1
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.0
10.0
15.7
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.8
10.6
0
1-1
57%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 40.1
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 36.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.