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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks35%99104
3Thunder65%10495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.6
34.2
19.8
8
44%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
37%
2-7
29%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
33.2
33.7
23
58%
12
3
1
1
1
0
6
6
1-2
50%
11-19
5-10
58%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.4
26.0
28.5
16
62%
3
5
3
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.4
22.6
12.6
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.6
19.8
13.5
4
32%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
1-3
33%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
1-5
20%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.7
27.9
24.4
6
60%
6
6
1
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.0
27.6
28.5
19
53%
0
4
2
1
0
2
0
0
8-9
89%
4-8
3-8
50%
42%
1-6
17%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.7
22.6
23.1
7
60%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
13.8
12.2
5
125%
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.6
12.3
5.1
10
73%
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-2
0%
5-5
1-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.9
38.2
1
8-17
46%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.7
5.5
0
0-1
41%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.3
3.4
0
0-1
43%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
42.1
40.1
22
54%
12
8
3
1
2
6
1
11
7-8
88%
6-13
7-13
46%
52%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
36.6
28.4
14
71%
5
0
0
1
3
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
36.1
35.4
14
37%
5
9
0
2
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-12
8-17
25%
47%
2-6
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
29.9
23.3
9
67%
5
1
0
0
1
2
0
5
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
51%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
24.5
22.0
4
67%
6
5
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.8
29.7
28.1
28
103%
1
0
1
1
0
4
0
1
6-6
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
6-8
75%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.0
18.1
23.3
4
67%
2
1
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
11.8
13.8
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.7
6.4
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.6
4.7
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.6
4.9
0
0-1
47%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.1
4.6
0
1-1
50%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.4
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.