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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Jazz34%9894
9Grizzlies66%103103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.9
38.6
32.3
17
45%
4
8
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
7-14
4-9
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.6
36.6
29.4
19
54%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
9-16
3-6
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.7
33.0
29.6
14
50%
8
4
0
1
3
2
3
5
2-2
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
49%
2-3
67%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 26.4
30.1
26.2
6
51%
5
0
2
1
2
3
0
5
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.8
29.0
30.6
11
51%
10
2
1
1
2
3
2
8
1-2
50%
5-10
7-14
50%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 21.3
25.8
22.1
14
51%
8
1
3
1
1
2
3
5
2-4
50%
6-12
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 29.1
22.8
24.2
11
56%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 20.5
11.9
15.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 21.3
6.5
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 25.0
5.6
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.7
12.9
1
1-2
41%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.3
11.1
0
1-3
42%
Kevin Murphy
G · 6'6" 185 · 22.7
1.9
0
0-0
42%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.1
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
38.0
34.1
16
42%
18
1
1
1
0
0
9
9
0-0
-
8-18
6-12
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
35.9
36.2
22
71%
8
8
0
1
3
0
2
6
10-10
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
34.7
34.9
15
37%
5
0
1
1
2
2
1
4
8-8
100%
2-13
6-13
15%
48%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
33.6
33.6
16
74%
5
4
1
2
1
3
0
5
1-2
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
45%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.8
26.5
27.7
8
31%
2
2
3
2
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
22.3
15.1
14
75%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
3-6
1-2
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
21.5
18.0
7
60%
6
1
1
0
1
3
0
6
1-2
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
14.4
14.8
3
50%
2
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
1-3
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.9
13.0
16.6
2
20%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
6.0
0
1-2
48%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.6
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.5
2.2
0
0-1
51%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.6
2.2
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.