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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Trail Blazers41%9991
22Mavericks59%102114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 26.1
36.2
35.3
20
61%
3
0
1
1
0
5
2
1
1-3
33%
5-11
3-8
45%
44%
3-4
75%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.9
35.8
36.6
14
50%
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-5
0%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.3
32.8
34.7
13
39%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
8-8
100%
1-5
4-10
20%
42%
1-8
13%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
32.2
36.0
20
49%
7
2
1
1
1
0
1
6
2-3
67%
9-18
9-18
50%
49%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 24.2
25.0
27.4
7
32%
11
0
1
1
0
2
7
4
1-2
50%
3-10
4-10
30%
47%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 20.7
23.0
16.6
6
43%
9
1
0
0
1
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.4
17.9
5.7
4
50%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 29.0
17.7
19.7
3
30%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 25.7
8.7
4.0
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
7.1
7.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.3
1.9
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 21.8
1.9
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.4
5.9
0
0-1
41%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 24.2
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
39.5
29.7
32
85%
2
1
2
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
44%
6-8
75%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
33.7
30.6
14
69%
1
13
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
25.1
22.4
10
71%
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
59%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.5
24.3
25.2
8
67%
7
3
1
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
23.6
24.0
8
57%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.5
24.3
20.5
16
80%
6
0
0
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
48%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
22.3
21.6
8
44%
3
0
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.5
16.0
8.6
3
31%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
14.3
10.7
6
61%
1
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
3-3
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.3
14.3
20.1
9
77%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
0.9
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
0.9
7.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
0.9
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.