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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 5, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors49%10392
26Kings51%10494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 29.5
41.1
32.1
20
61%
6
4
1
1
0
3
1
5
8-8
100%
6-13
7-13
46%
50%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.7
39.3
31.3
22
56%
7
3
2
1
0
1
0
7
5-6
83%
4-8
4-9
50%
45%
3-9
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
39.1
30.4
12
35%
6
8
1
1
0
3
1
5
4-5
80%
1-9
3-7
11%
49%
2-6
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.4
30.0
19.3
6
38%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.9
18.9
19.6
12
72%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
2-3
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.1
19.7
25.7
6
61%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.0
18.0
25.4
6
50%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.0
16.0
18.4
3
31%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 32.4
13.5
16.7
5
64%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
3.9
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.7
0.6
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
11.9
0
2-4
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
5.6
0
0-0
55%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 23.3
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
33.5
29.0
23
63%
15
1
2
1
2
3
5
10
3-5
60%
10-16
7-16
63%
46%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
29.2
33.4
3
15%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-7
6-12
14%
48%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
29.1
18.9
7
33%
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
3-6
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
26.8
25.7
6
80%
6
0
0
1
1
1
0
6
4-4
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.7
21.2
22.4
10
59%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
29.8
30.8
16
50%
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
50%
2-8
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.4
23.7
22.4
4
67%
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.8
20.0
18.0
12
68%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.1
12.8
4.5
2
25%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.6
11.8
13.4
6
50%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
2.2
7.0
5
102%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.8
12.5
0
1-2
49%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.3
2.5
0
0-1
47%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.