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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Pistons20%9697
8Nuggets80%107109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
39.1
26.0
17
42%
4
4
0
1
1
2
1
3
5-7
71%
3-11
3-7
27%
42%
2-6
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.4
35.4
28.3
27
58%
10
2
1
1
3
2
3
7
7-7
100%
10-20
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.9
33.0
27.4
2
17%
4
9
1
1
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
28.8
27.8
4
25%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.7
22.6
23.3
9
92%
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
4-4
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
25.3
23.2
11
62%
6
0
3
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
19.2
22.3
9
67%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.8
15.0
19.2
5
40%
3
8
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.2
12.2
19.0
7
117%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
9.4
16.9
6
150%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
2-2
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.2
0.1
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.4
4.0
0
0-1
39%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.2
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.0
39.4
37.3
15
60%
4
9
4
1
0
1
0
4
8-10
80%
2-4
6-12
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
36.4
35.5
17
54%
10
4
1
2
1
4
3
7
2-2
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
3-6
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
31.7
29.7
8
36%
4
2
0
1
2
4
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
2-8
25%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.7
29.6
19.8
14
54%
5
0
0
1
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-13
2-4
54%
54%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
22.7
26.1
15
66%
8
1
0
1
1
0
3
5
1-3
33%
7-10
5-8
70%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.6
26.1
25.1
8
56%
3
6
3
1
0
2
2
1
4-5
80%
2-3
4-8
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.7
20.1
23.3
11
50%
8
0
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
3-7
43%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
18.0
18.0
16
67%
3
1
0
0
3
1
3
0
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
16.1
19.7
5
31%
7
0
0
0
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
5.7
0
1-1
50%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.3
5.6
0
1-2
48%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.3
5.5
0
1-1
52%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
4.9
0
1-1
51%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.