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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nets17%9873
1Heat83%111103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.4
32.2
37.2
9
32%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-11
5-10
27%
46%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
30.9
35.6
14
47%
1
3
1
1
0
7
0
1
0-0
-
7-11
4-9
64%
46%
0-4
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
24.2
24.8
11
52%
11
1
0
1
0
1
5
6
3-6
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 32.5
21.0
11.2
3
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-3
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.6
20.6
22.9
8
47%
7
1
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-1
0%
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.6
24.6
25.3
2
20%
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-6
100%
38%
0-4
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 26.2
21.1
13.8
4
25%
8
0
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
43%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.8
19.0
20.8
12
68%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
44%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 27.1
16.9
6.4
3
19%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-7
14%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 32.5
13.2
14.3
5
91%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.1
12.0
3.5
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.6
4.3
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 38.0
1.8
0
0-0
39%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 29.4
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.8
32.1
31.3
22
74%
2
5
1
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
10-13
7-13
77%
52%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
30.0
32.9
20
73%
12
8
1
1
0
2
4
8
4-4
100%
5-9
7-13
56%
55%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
26.6
28.4
8
51%
6
5
1
1
0
4
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
1-2
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
24.8
23.0
9
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
3-8
38%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.6
24.0
29.5
8
32%
4
1
3
1
1
0
2
2
4-6
67%
2-9
5-11
22%
51%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.3
26.7
27.0
9
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
20.5
15.3
2
35%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
19.6
15.3
4
67%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
19.2
17.1
13
72%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
49%
1-3
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.7
4.3
8.0
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
4.3
6.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.7
4.0
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
3.7
3.8
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
1-2
50%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.7
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.