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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies51%103108
14Bucks49%10290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
36.7
35.5
14
66%
9
5
1
1
1
1
3
6
4-6
67%
5-8
6-11
63%
51%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
36.3
35.5
18
63%
13
1
1
1
0
3
4
9
4-5
80%
7-12
6-13
58%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
34.8
34.5
17
39%
5
2
2
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
7-17
6-13
41%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
32.9
33.3
13
63%
2
12
0
2
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
0-3
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.8
16.6
26.8
6
50%
5
0
1
2
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
23.1
19.5
9
75%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
3-4
75%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
22.0
19.9
18
67%
9
1
0
0
2
1
1
8
0-1
0%
9-13
3-7
69%
47%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.9
18.5
14.4
5
83%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
13.1
14.4
8
100%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.6
3.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.6
3.1
2.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
5.0
0
1-2
47%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.5
2.3
0
0-1
52%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.1
36.7
32.8
19
43%
3
5
4
2
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
4-16
5-11
25%
45%
2-4
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
36.4
34.4
15
36%
4
7
2
1
1
0
0
4
4-6
67%
4-13
6-13
31%
47%
1-5
20%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.3
24.3
20.0
8
51%
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
21.0
26.7
7
44%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-2
0%
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
15.4
12.8
4
100%
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
26.4
23.8
10
56%
11
3
1
1
3
4
5
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.1
23.7
27.4
10
50%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
50%
2-3
67%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
17.0
12.9
3
22%
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0
1-4
25%
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.0
16.6
5.2
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
43%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
10.0
22.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.8
6.2
5.3
10
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-5
1-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
6.2
4.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.1
8.2
0
2-3
45%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.3
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.