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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets41%9993
11Rockets59%10287
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.2
40.9
30.6
13
43%
10
3
0
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 25.0
38.5
37.8
21
48%
0
8
2
1
0
4
0
0
0-4
0%
6-16
6-11
38%
52%
3-4
75%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
38.4
35.4
13
55%
5
3
3
2
1
5
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
1-4
25%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 23.0
35.0
24.5
16
47%
16
0
1
1
1
1
9
7
2-7
29%
7-14
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.7
21.0
24.3
4
41%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.6
24.4
25.5
0
0%
7
5
0
1
0
5
0
7
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
46%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.7
21.9
21.8
14
65%
1
1
2
1
2
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-5
40%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.8
20.0
18.2
12
76%
6
0
0
0
0
3
3
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 23.3
5.8
0
1-2
45%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 26.3
5.0
0
1-1
49%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 22.1
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.0
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
38.3
37.1
15
41%
3
2
5
1
0
6
1
2
5-7
71%
5-10
5-10
50%
54%
0-5
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.0
35.7
35.5
8
44%
3
4
1
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
2-6
33%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
33.0
30.7
6
30%
5
6
6
2
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
30.3
29.7
18
69%
5
0
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-9
5-10
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.3
22.4
31.0
10
41%
13
0
0
1
0
3
7
6
2-3
67%
4-11
3-5
36%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
30.8
21.4
19
60%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
4-10
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
18.9
16.6
3
19%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.0
15.6
11.3
4
60%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.6
15.0
11.7
4
41%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
16.1
0
2-3
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.8
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.1
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
3.3
0
0-0
42%
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.