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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Magic31%9675
17Timberwolves69%10290
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.7
35.8
30.5
10
32%
5
5
1
1
0
4
2
3
2-4
50%
4-11
3-7
36%
43%
0-3
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
28.1
33.5
12
52%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.7
22.4
17.5
7
44%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
51%
1-1
100%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.9
19.3
32.4
4
21%
6
3
0
1
0
4
2
4
0-1
0%
2-9
7-16
22%
43%
0-0
-
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.0
18.0
31.6
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
5-11
25%
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.9
26.5
8.3
11
54%
5
0
0
0
2
2
2
3
5-5
100%
3-8
1-2
38%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.5
22.3
4.7
7
45%
5
2
3
0
2
0
2
3
3-4
75%
2-5
0-1
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.3
20.1
12.4
0
0%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.6
19.8
10.6
6
60%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 28.4
19.7
33.2
16
56%
2
1
0
1
0
5
0
2
5-5
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 22.6
8.1
2.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.7
13.8
0
2-3
45%
DeQuan Jones
F · 6'8" 221 · 22.4
12.3
0
1-3
45%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.6
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
30.7
24.8
7
60%
5
0
3
1
2
3
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
30.6
24.6
19
85%
5
3
1
1
1
3
1
4
4-5
80%
3-5
3-5
60%
49%
3-4
75%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
30.0
21.3
14
64%
6
1
2
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
2-5
40%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.3
26.1
24.0
3
22%
5
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.8
25.1
27.3
11
56%
5
0
1
1
2
5
1
4
1-2
50%
5-9
5-10
56%
56%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.1
21.1
13.7
12
86%
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
1-2
86%
55%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 23.9
17.3
17.9
7
58%
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.5
17.2
22.6
10
45%
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
3-5
60%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
1-4
25%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
13.5
22.6
4
40%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
12.3
21.1
1
13%
2
5
1
0
0
3
2
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
6.5
5.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
5.0
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
4.7
3.2
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.