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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors24%95104
15Mavericks76%105109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.3
40.4
29.4
24
56%
6
7
0
1
0
1
0
6
8-10
80%
8-14
5-11
57%
45%
0-3
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 27.0
38.7
27.1
25
54%
9
3
2
0
0
0
2
7
7-7
100%
9-15
4-10
60%
45%
0-5
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
33.2
20.7
11
55%
0
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.4
19.2
21.3
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
10.5
24.1
4
50%
2
0
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 25.5
28.9
15.7
18
89%
11
3
1
0
1
1
6
5
6-7
86%
6-7
2-4
86%
55%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 30.1
16.1
20.2
13
58%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
1-3
1-4
33%
38%
2-6
33%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 30.0
14.8
10.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
12.6
10.4
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.9
8.7
9.2
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 21.8
7.8
10.0
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.4
5.2
19.7
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
3-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.1
4.2
11.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.6
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
38.1
33.4
22
56%
5
6
1
1
0
0
0
5
3-6
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
45%
3-6
50%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
35.3
31.4
15
48%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
5-6
83%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-2
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 30.5
33.0
22.2
22
59%
8
3
0
0
1
2
2
6
6-8
75%
8-15
4-9
53%
49%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
28.3
23.4
12
58%
7
0
0
1
2
1
3
4
2-3
67%
5-9
4-7
56%
60%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.3
27.2
17.4
8
100%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.8
25.9
21.6
17
54%
5
3
1
1
2
4
2
3
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
18.5
5.8
6
61%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.5
15.4
12.5
5
42%
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
12.7
12.5
1
13%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-4
25%
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.9
5.6
4.3
1
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.7
23.4
1
3-7
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.7
16.5
1
2-4
50%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.5
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 34.5
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 34.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.