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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pistons33%98103
25Kings67%104105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 22.4
40.4
31.1
21
58%
12
11
1
1
0
2
5
7
5-7
71%
8-15
6-12
53%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.5
34.2
31.7
5
42%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-8
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.7
33.8
23.1
11
56%
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.9
32.8
29.7
21
86%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
1-1
3-7
100%
42%
5-9
56%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.7
26.9
28.1
10
46%
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
25.0
20.9
12
56%
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
2
5-6
83%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.7
15.3
24.1
7
51%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-2
0%
2-2
3-6
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.8
15.3
17.5
14
77%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
6-7
86%
4-5
3-6
80%
44%
0-1
0%
Kim English
G · 6'6" 200 · 24.1
10.4
13.8
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 19.2
6.0
16.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 24.4
4.0
0
0-1
40%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 25.2
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 28.2
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
32.9
30.4
21
52%
11
0
2
1
0
1
3
8
5-7
71%
8-17
8-16
47%
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
32.2
22.7
5
36%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
31.2
31.3
15
55%
7
3
3
1
0
2
2
5
5-6
83%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
27.7
26.0
13
84%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
5-6
3-6
83%
53%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.7
20.9
21.8
15
83%
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
3-4
75%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
27.7
30.0
11
46%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
1-3
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.8
24.0
18.6
11
46%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-5
20%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.4
16.3
22.6
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
15.2
5.1
12
68%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
2-3
67%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.6
11.9
12.8
2
41%
7
0
1
0
1
3
4
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
8.3
0
1-1
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.1
8.3
0
1-2
44%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.3
2.3
0
0-1
49%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.