Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Spurs	52%	103	84	90.3	93	98.9
	5	Clippers	48%	102	106	116.5	91	85.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Boris Diaw C · 6'8" 250 · 31	24.5	8	67%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 30	24.1	4	29%	1	6	0	0	4	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 25	23.9	12	86%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	23.0	4	40%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	22.7	10	45%	6	3	1	0	1	1	2	4	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	22.1	5	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	19.1	9	50%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	3-3	100%	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	18.8	9	56%	1	5	0	0	4	0	0	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	18.5	7	50%	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	16.9	4	29%	7	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	10.2	3	75%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	9.5	5	63%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	6.8	4	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Cory Joseph #5 · G · 6'2" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	50%	29	25	7	4	20	0	6	23	16-24	67%	22-50	44%	8-23	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Boris Diaw C · 6'8" 250 · 31	24.5	8	67%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-2	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 30	24.1	4	29%	1	6	0	0	4	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 25	23.9	12	86%	1	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-5	60%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 21	23.0	4	40%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 37	22.7	10	45%	6	3	1	0	1	1	2	4	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-0	-

Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 35	22.1	5	50%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	1-4	25%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 35	19.1	9	50%	1	2	0	1	1	2	0	1	3-3	100%	0-3	0%	2-5	40%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 28	18.8	9	56%	1	5	0	0	4	0	0	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28	18.5	7	50%	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24	16.9	4	29%	7	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33	10.2	3	75%	2	0	1	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 24	9.5	5	63%	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 25	6.8	4	50%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Cory Joseph #5 · G · 6'2" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	84	50%	29	25	7	4	20	0	6	23	16-24	67%	22-50	44%	8-23	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 Los Angeles Clippers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Blake Griffin F · 6'10" 251 · 24	29.9	22	65%	10	3	0	1	2	2	0	10	2-3	67%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 28	29.5	10	56%	2	12	1	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
DeAndre Jordan C · 6'11" 265 · 24	27.0	20	91%	11	0	2	4	1	1	3	8	0-0	-	10-12	83%	0-0	-
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 33	21.1	4	33%	3	3	1	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Willie Green G · 6'3" 205 · 31	17.3	11	110%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-1	100%

Jamal Crawford G · 6'5" 185 · 33	26.9	10	63%	0	1	1	0	3	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 33	26.9	12	60%	5	4	3	1	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Eric Bledsoe G · 6'1" 205 · 23	22.3	15	54%	1	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Ryan Hollins C · 7'0" 240 · 28	16.5	2	33%	5	0	0	0	2	4	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Ronny Turiaf C · 6'10" 249 · 30	12.6	0	0%	5	0	3	0	0	0	1	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 33	9.9	0	0%	2	1	0	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Trey Thompkins #9 · F · 6'10" 245 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Grant Hill #33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 40	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chauncey Billups #1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	60%	46	30	13	8	15	0	9	37	8-9	89%	40-66	61%	6-17	35%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAC
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

LAC

1.20 60.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

13

28

46%

LAC

23

31

74%

Midrange

SAS

9

22

41%

LAC

17

35

49%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

23

35%

52%

LAC

6

9.0

17

35%

53%

Free Throws

SAS

16

24

67%

LAC

8

9

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Green	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Duncan	10	45%	5.0 / 11
M. Ginobili	9	50%	4.5 / 9
G. Neal	9	56%	4.5 / 8
B. Diaw	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Splitter	7	50%	3.5 / 7
S. Jackson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Mills	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Parker	4	29%	2.0 / 7
K. Leonard	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Blair	4	29%	2.0 / 7
N. De Colo	4	50%	2.0 / 4
M. Bonner	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Clippers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Griffin	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Jordan	20	91%	10.0 / 11
E. Bledsoe	15	54%	7.5 / 14
M. Barnes	12	60%	6.0 / 10
W. Green	11	110%	5.5 / 5
C. Paul	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Crawford	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Butler	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Hollins	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Odom	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 107.8 3 111.0	SAS 90.3 LAC 116.5 +26.2
Pace	5 94.7 21 90.9	SAS 98.9 +13.0 LAC 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.4 9 16.1	SAS 14.6 −2.2 LAC 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 53.1% 4 52.6%	SAS 46.6% LAC 59.0% +12.4%
TO %	9 14.8% 14 15.2%	SAS 19.3% LAC 14.7% −4.6%
ORB %	29 20.7% 7 28.9%	SAS 14.0% LAC 28.1% +14.1%
FTrt	21 25.8 10 28.6	SAS 32.9 +22.1 LAC 10.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 64.1% 5 62.0%	SAS 83.3% +18.1% LAC 65.2%
STL %	8 8.9% 1 10.5%	SAS 7.5% LAC 14.3% +6.8%
BLK %	13 8.1% 5 9.8%	SAS 6.1% LAC 16.0% +9.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.49 and 2.49.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 55.3% 5 54.3%	SAS 50.0% LAC 60.2% +10.2%
Rim FG%	5 60.8% 2 63.5%	SAS 46.4% LAC 74.2% +27.8%
Mid FG%	2 42.4% 7 40.5%	SAS 40.9% LAC 48.6% +7.7%
3P %	4 37.6% 16 35.8%	SAS 34.8% LAC 35.3% +0.5%
FT %	3 79.1% 27 71.1%	SAS 66.7% LAC 88.9% +22.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 37.7% 11 37.3%	SAS 38.4% +1.0% LAC 37.3%
Mid Att. %	7 35.9% 8 36.2%	SAS 30.1% −12.0% LAC 42.2%
3P Att. %	9 26.4% 8 26.5%	SAS 31.5% +11.0% LAC 20.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	LAC
Possessions	93	91
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	84	106
Rebounds	29	46
Assists	25	30
Steals	7	13
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	20 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (5)	37 (1)
Field Goals	30-73	46-83
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	23-31
Midrange FG	9-22	17-35
2-Point FG	22-50	40-66
3-Point FG	8-23	6-17
Free Throws	16-24	8-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg