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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder43%9697
7Bulls57%9891
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.5
39.0
23.8
7
58%
7
3
2
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.1
38.4
35.3
24
60%
4
1
3
1
3
6
1
3
2-2
100%
11-17
6-11
65%
51%
0-2
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
36.9
27.9
21
63%
9
0
1
0
4
3
4
5
4-4
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
35.6
32.3
16
36%
2
12
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
6-15
6-14
40%
45%
1-7
14%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 28.0
20.3
24.2
0
0%
5
0
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.8
30.8
25.3
15
84%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
8-9
89%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 32.0
17.0
18.0
4
100%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.4
12.4
15.8
10
81%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
5-5
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-1
100%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.7
9.7
15.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.1
10.1
0
1-2
46%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 22.6
5.4
0
0-1
41%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.4
4.2
0
0-1
42%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.6
4.0
0
0-1
44%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 22.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
42.4
37.3
27
62%
1
2
1
1
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
8-15
4-9
53%
47%
3-6
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.7
39.1
37.7
9
46%
13
6
1
1
1
4
7
6
1-2
50%
4-9
5-10
44%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.8
36.0
24.4
12
50%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
2-5
40%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.7
34.5
24.8
20
60%
8
0
2
1
1
4
1
7
6-6
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
45%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 31.0
30.4
27.5
9
42%
11
2
0
1
0
5
2
9
3-4
75%
3-9
6-12
33%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
24.6
19.9
4
40%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 23.2
13.3
16.3
6
51%
3
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 28.4
12.0
22.4
2
17%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.6
5.9
15.6
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 35.2
1.5
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.0
0.3
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 19.7
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.