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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat53%10095
9Hawks47%9989
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.6
37.7
27.0
24
69%
5
2
3
1
1
2
3
2
10-10
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-2
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.9
35.7
31.4
21
57%
11
9
1
1
0
2
2
9
1-3
33%
10-15
7-12
67%
54%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.7
30.8
6.7
4
45%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-4
25%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 26.5
26.6
27.6
12
60%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.2
20.3
23.6
2
25%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 37.3
24.1
26.4
17
66%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
23.9
17.4
2
33%
10
0
0
0
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 33.3
20.6
17.8
7
58%
0
1
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
20.3
17.7
6
43%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 30.3
6.4
0
0-1
52%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
4.8
0
0-1
46%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
4.2
0
0-0
38%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.7
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.8
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.9
36.0
29.5
13
31%
8
0
2
1
2
3
3
5
1-5
20%
6-17
6-13
35%
47%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
35.0
32.9
10
56%
7
2
0
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
5-9
6-11
56%
52%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.6
30.1
24.2
11
55%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
3-7
43%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 24.4
27.3
29.6
20
102%
3
11
0
1
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-6
4-9
83%
49%
2-2
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.6
24.0
21.8
3
21%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
37%
1-5
20%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.7
19.6
18.3
4
52%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.0
19.4
23.6
2
15%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.1
15.5
6.6
17
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-3
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
44%
2-2
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.4
13.9
15.4
5
83%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.7
13.7
29.1
2
33%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 28.6
5.4
9.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.7
3.9
0
0-1
43%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 24.3
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.