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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Rockets35%9685
10Grizzlies65%10193
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.2
40.6
36.8
18
40%
4
4
0
1
2
5
2
2
9-10
90%
3-12
5-10
25%
52%
1-6
17%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.4
40.4
26.0
10
73%
13
2
0
1
2
5
3
10
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.0
37.0
34.6
19
73%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
48%
3-6
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
37.0
31.3
15
66%
5
3
2
2
0
4
0
5
3-3
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.7
30.9
29.4
8
40%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-10
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 30.2
27.3
25.7
8
44%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
2-7
29%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
14.9
17.8
5
42%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.5
7.0
2.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 24.0
4.8
13.6
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
13.5
1
1-3
40%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
8.3
0
1-2
46%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 20.8
3.9
0
0-1
42%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 22.1
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Scott Machado
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.4
Royce White
F · 6'8" 260 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
41.3
35.1
15
48%
14
1
1
1
3
2
5
9
5-6
83%
5-13
6-13
38%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.8
32.6
35.6
6
25%
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-12
5-10
25%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
30.9
32.8
14
46%
4
4
3
2
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
30.2
34.2
21
51%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
2-4
50%
8-15
7-13
53%
49%
1-4
25%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.8
19.6
21.8
8
40%
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
29.0
21.0
5
36%
1
1
4
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
20.6
20.7
7
33%
7
2
0
0
2
0
6
1
3-4
75%
2-9
4-8
22%
48%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
17.9
14.0
12
68%
2
3
3
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.9
17.9
16.2
5
63%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.6
4.5
0
1-2
48%
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.6
3.1
0
0-1
43%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 19.6
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 27.5
2.2
0
0-1
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.