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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats23%9399
21Hornets77%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 20.2
35.8
19.2
6
44%
13
0
0
0
3
1
6
7
0-2
0%
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 19.1
33.1
26.5
12
64%
6
0
2
1
3
2
2
4
1-1
100%
4-8
3-8
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 22.5
25.2
34.9
11
38%
4
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-12
4-11
42%
40%
0-2
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.7
24.6
32.4
5
28%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-9
25%
44%
1-5
20%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 23.5
13.3
9.0
7
70%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
1-3
33%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.6
34.7
22.2
34
75%
6
4
0
1
0
4
3
3
3-4
75%
11-15
2-5
73%
44%
3-6
50%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.6
24.2
29.6
13
61%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-6
83%
4-6
3-7
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
22.8
16.5
6
31%
5
3
0
1
3
1
2
3
2-4
50%
2-8
2-6
25%
42%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 26.2
14.1
10.9
5
83%
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-2
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.8
12.2
5.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 32.2
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 23.4
2.5
0
0-1
39%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.9
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 33.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 19.7
36.5
8.5
23
52%
11
2
2
0
5
1
4
7
5-9
56%
9-17
1-3
53%
52%
0-1
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 20.3
30.1
15.3
4
29%
2
4
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.1
28.8
34.4
14
68%
6
3
2
2
1
2
2
4
2-3
67%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.6
26.1
30.0
6
75%
7
1
0
1
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
3-4
5-9
75%
52%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.8
25.3
32.4
4
17%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
1-7
4-8
14%
49%
0-3
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 26.9
29.6
12.4
16
90%
0
8
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
6-7
1-3
86%
45%
1-1
100%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.5
28.3
33.2
25
78%
7
2
0
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
51%
5-10
50%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.2
15.3
18.1
5
58%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
15.1
18.1
6
75%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
2-4
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.7
5.1
15.5
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
11.2
0
1-3
46%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.5
6.3
0
1-1
48%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 30.3
5.1
0
1-2
49%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.