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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pacers48%9394
16Timberwolves52%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
37.3
31.5
19
53%
13
1
2
1
2
2
6
7
3-4
75%
8-16
6-13
50%
48%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
35.0
37.3
11
43%
3
4
0
2
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
2-6
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.5
34.9
33.9
29
76%
5
7
1
1
1
2
2
3
5-5
100%
9-13
3-6
69%
48%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.9
27.8
31.6
10
45%
4
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
0-0
-
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.4
11.0
10.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
29.6
22.3
8
37%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
2-9
3-5
22%
49%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.0
20.7
17.5
4
40%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
20.4
20.9
9
90%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
44%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
13.2
12.2
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-5
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.0
10.2
12.8
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
2.3
0
0-1
46%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.9
36.5
26.1
13
51%
8
2
2
1
1
2
1
7
5-6
83%
4-10
5-9
40%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
34.6
26.7
8
33%
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-11
3-6
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.7
33.2
26.4
6
47%
6
4
3
1
1
2
1
5
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.5
26.5
24.5
15
76%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
45%
1-2
50%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 28.3
14.8
24.5
6
60%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 24.5
27.3
20.2
18
87%
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
9-10
90%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 23.9
21.2
17.5
11
59%
3
7
0
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
0-3
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
21.1
18.8
11
80%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
5-6
2-5
83%
49%
0-0
-
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.5
13.3
4.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.1
11.4
16.5
6
44%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
17.3
0
2-4
45%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
5.6
0
1-1
46%
Will Conroy
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 24.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.