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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs72%10397
27Kings28%9586
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.4
31.5
25.9
11
60%
9
1
1
1
2
2
2
7
4-5
80%
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 36.5
31.1
26.1
23
79%
12
4
3
1
5
2
0
12
5-6
83%
9-12
6-12
75%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.5
24.1
27.3
5
37%
3
6
1
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
5-11
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
22.5
26.5
7
44%
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-4
25%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 23.6
19.9
17.5
4
29%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30.6
28.7
23.9
9
67%
9
4
0
1
0
0
2
7
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 35.3
25.1
18.5
7
38%
3
5
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
21.1
6.5
18
100%
2
3
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
6-6
1-2
100%
46%
2-3
67%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.1
19.7
18.0
7
44%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.9
16.4
14.3
6
60%
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
58%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
13.3
0
0-1
49%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.2
9.4
0
1-2
43%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.4
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
37.8
26.5
17
72%
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
5
3-4
75%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
33.4
30.9
12
43%
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.8
29.3
21.2
10
39%
4
2
1
1
0
3
2
2
3-4
75%
2-6
2-4
33%
47%
1-5
20%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
23.0
31.0
14
41%
9
3
1
1
0
2
4
5
6-7
86%
4-14
7-16
29%
45%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
21.1
26.0
9
58%
5
0
2
1
0
4
2
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
28.2
28.7
17
46%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-3
33%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
2-6
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 29.4
24.5
19.7
2
17%
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 27.8
18.7
20.4
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.9
8.0
6.0
2
25%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 28.1
6.5
5.6
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.7
4.9
9.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.9
4.8
19.3
1
27%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 21.7
12.4
0
2-3
47%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.