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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Wizards27%9085
13Pacers73%9889
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.1
36.5
31.5
12
50%
3
14
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
40%
2-7
29%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 19.4
35.3
31.4
17
69%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
2-3
67%
3-8
3-7
38%
41%
3-3
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 30.1
32.8
23.7
17
45%
8
0
0
1
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
8-18
4-7
44%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
31.3
24.1
10
45%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
51%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
26.1
24.6
4
40%
6
2
4
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.9
20.4
21.8
8
82%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
2-4
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.9
15.2
21.2
4
29%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 24.0
14.2
16.0
9
75%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
44%
3-6
50%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 23.0
12.8
13.7
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.1
11.5
13.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 22.5
3.9
13.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 31.2
2.7
0
0-1
39%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 28.0
2.5
0
0-0
42%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
36.7
36.0
20
78%
7
3
0
2
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
6-7
3-7
86%
49%
2-5
40%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.2
35.1
33.5
11
32%
4
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
3-3
100%
4-16
7-14
25%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 26.5
34.7
33.9
8
40%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 22.2
30.6
20.7
12
86%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
2-2
100%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.9
26.0
30.0
7
22%
12
1
1
1
2
4
8
4
1-2
50%
3-15
5-9
20%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.8
28.4
25.1
15
58%
8
0
0
1
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
50%
1-4
25%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 27.0
20.6
19.1
6
41%
6
0
2
1
0
1
2
4
4-12
33%
1-2
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 26.0
14.3
11.9
7
79%
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
54%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 25.0
13.6
12.8
3
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Sam Young
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 27.4
10.9
0
1-3
46%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 23.7
2.1
0
0-0
46%
Ben Hansbrough
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
1.7
0
0-0
43%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
1.5
0
0-0
51%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 29.6
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.