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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Celtics46%9896
14Bucks54%9992
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.7
37.2
40.1
10
46%
5
11
1
2
0
4
1
4
2-4
50%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 35.1
35.2
34.5
25
58%
9
3
1
1
1
2
1
8
6-8
75%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
3-7
43%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 36.5
30.8
29.8
18
71%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
6-6
100%
6-10
6-13
60%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 27.5
30.7
25.7
8
58%
7
0
0
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 35.2
22.4
26.6
15
86%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.1
28.0
20.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
25.3
18.5
12
52%
3
0
1
0
2
3
0
3
6-8
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 30.2
15.1
9.5
6
60%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
54%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 30.0
8.4
11.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 20.7
6.8
20.1
2
114%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 27.4
3.3
0
0-1
46%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.9
3.1
0
0-0
43%
Kris Joseph
F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Fab Melo
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 23.1
41.6
32.5
4
17%
4
5
2
2
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
5-11
0%
45%
1-7
14%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
38.1
33.1
32
56%
2
8
2
1
0
1
1
1
9-10
90%
10-20
6-12
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
32.3
23.2
10
34%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
3-6
50%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
21.6
14.1
14
72%
8
1
0
0
0
0
4
4
2-4
50%
6-8
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.3
10.2
18.8
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.0
26.4
27.6
10
63%
12
0
0
1
1
1
5
7
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.8
23.8
10.5
12
61%
2
2
2
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.4
16.7
17.7
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
15.7
22.1
4
40%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 32.2
13.6
28.2
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 21.9
9.5
0
1-2
47%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.0
7.1
0
1-2
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 33.1
3.8
0
0-0
52%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.2
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 31.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.